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Research ArticleArticles

What Happens to the Careers of European Workers When Immigrants “Take Their Jobs”?

Cristina Cattaneo, Carlo V. Fiorio and Giovanni Peri
Journal of Human Resources, July 2015, 50 (3) 655-693; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.50.3.655
Cristina Cattaneo
Cristina Cattaneo is senior researcher at Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei-FEEM, Milan, Italy. Carlo V. Fiorio is an associate professor of public economics at the Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods, University of Milan, Senior researcher at Irvapp, Trento and Research Fellow at Dondena, Milan, Italy. Giovanni Peri is full professor of economics at the Department of Economics, University of California, Davis, U.S.A.
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Carlo V. Fiorio
Cristina Cattaneo is senior researcher at Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei-FEEM, Milan, Italy. Carlo V. Fiorio is an associate professor of public economics at the Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods, University of Milan, Senior researcher at Irvapp, Trento and Research Fellow at Dondena, Milan, Italy. Giovanni Peri is full professor of economics at the Department of Economics, University of California, Davis, U.S.A.
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Giovanni Peri
Cristina Cattaneo is senior researcher at Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei-FEEM, Milan, Italy. Carlo V. Fiorio is an associate professor of public economics at the Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods, University of Milan, Senior researcher at Irvapp, Trento and Research Fellow at Dondena, Milan, Italy. Giovanni Peri is full professor of economics at the Department of Economics, University of California, Davis, U.S.A.
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Article Figures & Data

Figures

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  • Figure 1
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    Figure 1

    Share (percent) of Foreign Born Workers Over Total Population by Isco 1-digit. Average 1995–2001

    Source: authors’ calculations based on ELFS.

    Notes: ISCO occupation 1-digit codes are grouped in four tiers as follows: “Elementary occupations” = Elementary; “Plant and machine operators and assemblers, Craft and related trades workers, Skilled agricultural and fishery workers, Service workers and shop and market sales workers, Clerks” = Clerical and Craft; “Technicians and associate professionals” = Technical and Associate; “Professionals, legislators, senior officials, and managers” = Professionals and Managers.

  • Figure A1
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    Figure A1

    Probability of Receiving any Self-Employment Income for Immigrants with Respect to Natives

    Notes: This line plots the pointwise estimates of the simple correlations between the probability of receiving any self-employment income and foreign-born dummies: yit = ϑi + ϑt + ϑft + εit, where yit is coded 1 if individual i receives any self-employment income and 0 otherwise, ϑft is the interaction between a foreign-born dummy and year fixed effects, ϑi and ϑt are individual and year fixed effects, respectively. Estimates are obtained by OLS over the full sample of natives and immigrants and errors are clustered at the individual level.

Tables

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    Table 1

    The Skill Content of Occupations

    Occupation Levels or TiersOccupation (ISCO Code–1 Digit)
    First: “elementary occupations”9. Elementary occupations
    Second: “clerical and craft occupations”4. Clerks
    5. Service workers and shop and market sales workers
    6. Skilled agricultural and fishery workers
    7. Craft and related trades workers
    8. Plant and machine operators and assemblers
    Third: “technical and associate professionals”3. Technicians and associate professionals
    Fourth: “professional and manager”1. Legislators, senior officials, and managers
    2. Professionals
    • View popup
    Table 2

    Distribution of Native Workers in the Four Occupation Tiers (Percent). Average 1995–2001

    Occupation TiersAll Natives
    By Individual-YearsBy Individuals
    Frequence
    (1)
    Percent
    (2)
    Frequence
    (3)
    Percent
    (4)
    First  21,701    8.26  8,384  14.24
    Second146,173  55.6439,197  66.58
    Third  36,292  13.8112,518  21.26
    Fourth  58,545  22.2817,311  29.41
    Total262,711100.0077,410131.50
    (Number of individuals = 58,868)
    • Source: authors’ calculation based on ECHP data.

    • Notes: Columns 1 and 2 report statistics by individual-years, summing up to the total sample size. Columns 3 and 4 report frequencies and shares of individual who have ever been of each tier. The total frequency is higher than the number of individuals suggesting that some individuals have been employed in different tiers over the period considered.

    • View popup
    Table 3

    Immigration and Occupational Mobility of Natives

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    2SLS
    (5)
    Share of immigrants at time t0.4037***
    [0.1215]
    0.2839**
    [0.1289]
    0.7097***
    [0.2749]
    4.9649**
    [2.0914]
    0.9233***
    [0.3505]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 1−0.2240
    [0.9046]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 2−0.8103
    [1.1161]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 3−3.7645*
    [2.1811]
    Share of immigrants in next higher tier level at time t−0.1775
    [0.1434]
    Fixed effectsYearYearYearYearYear
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Observations262,711183,068183,06870,620166,309
    First-stage F-statistics––78.4533.5637.83
    • ↵Note: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression where the dependent variable is defined as equal to 0 if the individual is at the same tier level as when he first entered the sample, 1 if he is at a higher tier, and −1 if he is at a lower tier. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. Column 5 reports also the coefficient on the share of immigrants in the next higher tier level at time t. The first column uses the whole sample of 11 countries, the remaining columns use data from the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, tenure, and industry, as well as year fixed effects. In brackets, we report the standard error using two-way clustering at the individual and at the year-country-occupation levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 4

    Immigration and Occupational Upward Mobility of Natives

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    2SLS
    (5)
    Share of immigrants at time t0.1786**
    [0.0807]
    0.1534*
    [0.0841]
    0.3833**
    [0.1785]
    2.7970**
    [1.3113]
    0.6278**
    [0.2505]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 1−0.4847
    [0.6144]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 2−0.2196
    [0.7431]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 3−1.8673
    [1.3532]
    Share of immigrants in next higher tier level at time t−0.2546**
    [0.1168]
    Fixed effectsYearYearYearYearYear
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Observations262,711183,068183,06870,620166,309
    First-stage F-statistics––78.4533.5637.83
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression where the dependent variable is defined as equal to 0 if the individual is at the same or at a lower tier level than when he first entered the sample and 1 if he is at a higher tier. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. Column 5 reports also the coefficient on the share of immigrants in the next higher tier level at time t. The first column uses the whole sample of 11 countries, the remaining columns use data from the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, tenure, and industry, as well as year fixed effects. In brackets, we report the standard error using two-way clustering at the individual and at the year-country-occupation levels, *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 5

    Immigration and Occupational Downward Mobility of Natives

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    2SLS
    (5)
    Share of immigrants at time t−0.2251***
    [0.0787]
    −0.1305
    [0.0872]
    −0.3264*
    [0.1704]
    −2.1679
    [1.3839]
    −0.2955
    [0.1959]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 1−0.2607
    [0.7029]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 20.5907
    [0.9967]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 31.8973
    [1.5656]
    Share of immigrants in next higher tier level at time t−0.0771
    [0.0794]
    Fixed effectsYearYearYearYearYear
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Observations262,711183,068183,06870,620166,309
    First-stage F-statistics––78.4533.5637.83
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression where the dependent variable is defined as equal to 0 if the individual is at the same or at a higher tier level than when he first entered the sample and 1 if he is at a lower tier. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. Column 5 reports also the coefficient on the share of immigrants in the next higher tier level at time t. The first column uses the whole sample of 11 countries, the remaining columns use data from the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, tenure, and industry, as well as year fixed effects. In brackets, we report the standard error using two-way clustering at the individual and at the year-country-occupation levels, *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 6

    Immigration and Occupational Attainment of Natives

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    Share of immigrants at time t−3.0195***
    [0.6767]
    −2.4841***
    [0.7252]
    10.3401***
    [3.5911]
    25.0209***
    [5.9217]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 1−4.0233***
    [1.4421]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 2−2.7625***
    [1.0152]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 3−1.3765
    [1.0436]
    Share of immigrants in next higher tier level at time t
    Fixed effectsYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, Individual
    Interaction effectsCountry*yearCountry*yearCountry*yearCountry*year
    Observations262,711183,068183,06865,705
    First-stage F-statistics––280.829.75
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression where the dependent variable is defined as the individual tier level at time t. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. The first column uses the whole sample of 11 countries, the remaining columns use data from the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, tenure, and industry, as well as year and individual fixed effects. In brackets, we report the standard error using two-way clustering at the individual and at the year-country-occupation levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 7

    Immigration and Native Unemployment

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    Share of immigrants at time t0.0447
    [0.0531]
    0.0574
    [0.0641]
    −0.1353
    [0.1122]
    0.0147
    [0.2361]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 10.0827
    [0.3103]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 2−0.4643***
    [0.1663]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 3−0.0070
    [0.1576]
    Fixed effectsYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, Individual
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Observations321,934218,629218,62996,000
    First-stage F-statistics––158.052.57
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression where the dependent variable is defined as 1 if the individual is unemployed and 0 if regularly working. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. The first column uses data of the whole sample, the remaining columns use only data of the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, and for employed people (Panel B) tenure and industry. Individual and year fixed effects are also included. In brackets, we report the standard error clustered at the individual and at the year-country-occupational levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 8

    Immigration and Native Earnings

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    Share of immigrants at time t−0.1525
    [0.1523]
    −0.2095
    [0.1749]
    0.3363
    [0.4172]
    0.6381
    [0.6156]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 10.9603**
    [0.4343]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 20.5690
    [0.3885]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 3−0.4517
    [0.4292]
    Fixed effectsYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, Individual
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Observations213,287141,996141,99651,700
    First-stage F-statistics––119.032.20
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression where the dependent variable is defined as the log of net wage and salary earnings. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. The first column uses data of the whole sample, the remaining columns use only data of the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, and for employed people (Panel B) tenure and industry. Individual and year fixed effects are also included. In brackets, we report the standard error clustered at the individual and at the year-country-occupational levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 9

    Immigration and Native Probability of Receiving No Self-Employment Income and Self-Employment Income

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    Panel A: Native probability of receiving no self-employment income
    Share of immigrants at time t0.34+4***
    [0.0965]
    0.3658***
    [0.1175]
    1.1092***
    [0.2516]
    0.8929**
    [0.3508]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 10.5937**
    [0.2715]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 20.1140
    [0.1926]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 3−0.2863
    [0.2165]
    Fixed effectsYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, Individual
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occ. lev.*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occ. lev.*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occ. lev.*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occ. lev.*year
    Observations262,711183,068183,06865,705
    First-stage F-statistics––133.633.98
    Panel B: Native self-employment income
    Share of immigrants at time t0.1166
    [0.6409]
    0.4252
    [0.7378]
    −1.1288
    [2.3136]
    −2.1609
    [3.9169]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 10.5663
    [2.6247]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 2−0.5351
    [2.4543]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 30.2094
    [2.5947]
    Fixed effectsYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, Individual
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Observations37,40728,86428,86411,806
    First-stage F-statistics––120.19.046
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression. In Panel A, the dependent variable is defined as 1 if an employed person receives only wage and salary and no self-employment income and 0 otherwise. In Panel B, the dependent variable is defined as the log of net self-employment income. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. The first column uses data of the whole sample, the remaining columns use only data of the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, tenure, and industry. Individual and year fixed effects are also included. In brackets, we report the standard error clustered at the individual and at the year-country-occupational levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 10

    Immigration and Native Probability of Occupation Change

    SpecificationOLS, Full Sample
    (1)
    OLS
    (2)
    2SLS
    (3)
    2SLS
    (4)
    Share of immigrants at time t0.0929
    [0.1542]
    0.0448
    [0.1601]
    1.9884***
    [0.4258]
    4.0966*
    [2.3567]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 1−2.1187**
    [1.0745]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 2−0.2839
    [1.5665]
    Share of immigrants at time t – 30.8515
    [2.3397]
    Fixed effectsYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, IndividualYear, Individual
    Interaction effectsCountry*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Country*occ.lev.
    country*year
    occupational level*year
    Observations262,711183,068183,06870,620
    First-stage F-statistics––78.4533.56
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the estimate from a different regression where the dependent variable is defined as 1 if the individual changed occupation toward one with an ISCO code that is different with respect to the one he/she had when he entered the sample, and 0 otherwise. The coefficient reported in Columns 1–3 is the coefficient on the share of foreign born at time t. In Column 4, earlier periods are also controlled for. The first column uses data of the whole sample, the remaining columns use only data of the subsample where instrumental variables are available. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, tenure, and industry, as well as individual and year fixed effects. In brackets, we report the standard error clustered at the individual and at the year-country-occupational levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table 11

    Immigration and Native Occupation Level, Unemployment, and Earnings: By Skill, Age, and Gender

    SubsamplesTier: 1 or 2
    (1)
    Tier: 3 or 4
    (2)
    Age < 40
    (3)
    Age ≥ 40
    (4)
    Age ≥ 25
    (5)
    Male
    (6)
    Female
    (7)
    Panel A: Occupation mobility
    Share of immigrants at time t0 7194***
    [0.1971]
    1.4853***
    [0.5236]
    0.3588
    [0.2819]
    1.1630***
    [0.3556]
    0.8106***
    [0.2714]
    0.9310***
    [0.3013]
    0.7690**
    [0.3824]
    Observations135,44157,298122,10470,635153,201115,27477,465
    First-stage F-statistics68.3388.6576.9176.0383.6982.6480.79
    Panel B: Unemployment status
    Share of immigrants at time t−0.2261*
    [0.1280]
    0.2549
    [0.1689]
    −0.1994
    [0.1480]
    0.0492
    [0.1270]
    0.0302
    [0.1107]
    −0.1781
    [0.1291]
    −0.0082
    [0.2086]
    Observations156,34062,289139,88278,747170,899125,79692,833
    First-stage F-statistics132.1193.3133.6193.9178.5147140.5
    Panel C: Log wage earnings
    Share of immigrants at time t0.4177
    [0.4731]
    −0.5+69
    [0.8059]
    0.7159
    [0.5463]
    −0.3305
    [0.5353]
    −0.2052
    [0.3855]
    0.4658
    [0.4515]
    −0.1528
    [0.9576]
    Observations99,48942,50792,99049,006113,57083,61158,385
    First-stage F-statistics95.90152.9103.7136.4130.9119.980.51
    • ↵Notes: Each column reports the 2SLS estimate from different regressions of an outcome variable (from top to bottom, respectively, Occupation mobility in tiers, Unemployment status and Log wage earnings) over the contemporaneous share of immigrants. Columns differs by the subsample selected, which is by tier (either the first two or the last two), by gender, and by age at entry in the sample. All regressions are performed at the individual level and include controls for education, marital status, tenure, and industry, as well as year fixed effects. All regressions but those on the Occupation mobility outcome variable include individual fixed effects. All columns report the estimate for the specification with all interaction dummies (Country*Occupational Level, Country*Year, Occupational level*Year). In brackets, we report the standard error clustered at the individual and at the year-country-occupation level, *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table A1

    Summary Statistics of Native Workers, by Occupation Levels. Average 1995–2001

    TiersTertiary Education (Percent)
    (1)
    Wage and Salary Earnings
    (2)
    Self-Employment Income
    (3)
    O*NET Score in Complex Skills
    (4)
    O*NET Score in Manual Skills
    (5)
    O*NET Complex/Manual Score
    (6)
    First  6.322,471.683,657.3934.5064.250.54
    Second14.244,074.493,113.8842.4560.000.71
    Third45.365,835.554,569.1369.2243.671.59
    Fourth66.559,864.266,330.3677.5340.501.91
    • Source: authors’ calculation based on ECHP data and O*NET data.

    • Notes: Column 1 provides the percentage of native workers with tertiary education. Monetary values in ECU until 1998, in Euro from 1999 onward. The scores in Column 4 are the average scores in complex, mental, and communication skills. A score equal to 78 in complex skills for Tier 4 implies that 78 percent of all workers use complex skills less intensively than workers in Tier 4. The scores in Column 5 are the average scores in manual and routine skills. Statistics weighted using individual weights.

    • View popup
    Table A2

    Summary Statistics of the Main Variables for Natives Only from ECHP. Individual-Year Observations, Average 1995–2001.

    VariableObservationsMeanStandard Deviation
    Full sample
        Occupation mobility (tier)262,7110.02740.4091
        Occupation upgrade mobility (tier)262,7110.09770.2970
        Occupation downgrade mobility (tier)262,7110.07040.2558
        Occupation attainment (tier)262,7112.50120.9279
        Unemployment status321,9340.04840.2146
        Log-wage income213,2879.31610.8660
        Log self-employment income  37,4078.76561.3752
        No self-employment income262,7110.78990.4074
        Occupation change (occupation level)262,7110.23110.4215
        Share of immigrants at time t262,7110.05580.0370
    2SLS sample
        Occupation mobility (tier)183,0680.01930.3952
        Occupation upgrade mobility (tier)183,0680.08790.2832
        Occupation downgrade mobility (tier)183,0680.06860.2528
        Occupation attainment (tier)183,0682.41430.9024
        Unemployment status218,6290.05460.2273
        Log-wage income141,9969.17610.8635
        Log self-employment income  28,8648.69891.3130
        No self-employment income183,0680.76170.4260
        Occupation change (occupation level)183,0680.21960.4140
        Share of immigrants at time t183,0680.05660.0397
    • Source: authors’ calculation based on ECHP data.

    • Notes: Monetary values in ECU until 1998, in Euros from 1999 onward.

    • View popup
    Table A3

    One-Year Mobility of Native Workers Across the Four Occupation Tiers (Percent). Average 1995–2001

    Tier at Time t – 1Tier at Time t
    FirstSecondThirdFourthAll
    First78.5219.03  1.36  1.09100
    Second  2.5992.41  2.65  2.35100
    Third  0.60  8.6183.50  7.29100
    Fourth  0.34  5.30  4.2990.07100
    All  8.7155.8114.4721.01100
    • Source: authors’ calculation based on ECHP data.

    • View popup
    Table A4

    Share of Foreign Workers (Percent), by Occupation Tier and Country. Selected Years.

    YearOccupation LevelATBEDKESFIFRIEGRNLPTUK
    1995First19.0612.34  3.85  1.98–17.47–10.89  9.07  1.03  5.56
    1998First21.9814.02  6.26  3.08  2.1718.00  5.6523.8811.87  3.10  6.98
    2001First22.5313.48  7.48  5.64  2.0218.23  6.9422.32  9.55  4.71  7.02
    1995Second  6.48  8.06  2.39  1.67–  9.79–  3.29  6.18  1.01  5.42
    1998Second  7.53  8.96  3.97  1.88  1.41  9.45  6.75  4.90  7.11  3.19  6.25
    2001Second  8.2310.84  4.01  2.62  1.78  9.81  7.47  5.67  6.38  3.81  6.32
    1995Third  5.74  7.77  2.43  2.44–  7.01–  3.88  4.68  1.40  5.66
    1998Third  5.69  8.16  3.41  2.37  1.39  6.92  9.68  2.16  5.25  6.98  6.71
    2001Third  5.89  7.44  4.13  2.73  1.42  6.88  9.39  2.82  5.47  5.46  8.56
    1995Fourth  5.33  9.24  4.85  2.66–10.95–  3.12  4.68  1.79  8.38
    1998Fourth  7.0711.13  6.12  2.96  1.2411.50  8.21  2.78  5.33  6.36  9.09
    2001Fourth  6.8211.01  5.35  3.28  2.1511.42  9.56  2.55  5.11  6.94  9.97
    • Source: authors’ calculation based on ELFS data.

    • View popup
    Table A5

    First-stage Regressions of the Endogenous Variables

    SpecificationShare of Immigrants at Time tShare of Immigrants at Time t – 1Share of Immigrants at Time t – 2Share of Immigrants at Time t – 3
    Imputed share of immigrants at time t0.2990***
    [0.0487]
    0.0916**
    [0.0399]
    0.0920**
    [0.0398]
    0.0978***
    [0.0375]
    Imputed share of immigrants at time t – 10.0181***
    [0.0065]
    0.2137***
    [0.0145]
    0.0291***
    [0.0077]
    0.0257***
    [0.0077]
    Imputed share of immigrants at time t – 20.0070
    [0.0050]
    0.0115*
    [0.0063]
    0.2005***
    [0.0148]
    0.0110
    [0.0101]
    Imputed share of immigrants0.0125**
    [0.0050]
    0.0204***
    [0.0055]
    0.0271***
    [0.0073]
    0.2141***
    [0.0154]
    Fixed effectsYearYearYearYear
    Interaction effectsCountry*Occ.Lev.
    Country*Year
    Occ.Lev.*Year
    Country*Occ.Lev.
    Country*Year
    Occ.Lev.*Year
    Country*Occ.Lev.
    Country*Year
    Occ.Lev.*Year
    Country*Occ.Lev.
    Country*Year
    Occ.Lev.*Year
    Observations70,62070,62070,62070,620
    • ↵Notes: The table reports the first stage regressions of Specification 4 of Tables 3–5. In brackets, we report the standard errors using two-way clustering at the individual and at the year-country-occupation levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

    • View popup
    Table A6

    First-stage Regressions of the Endogenous Variables

    SpecificationShare of Immigrants at Time tShare of Immigrants in Next Higher Tier Level at Time t
    Imputed share of immigrants at time t0.3402***
    [0.0374]
    0.3358***
    [0.0605]
    Imputed share of immigrants in next higher tier level at time t0.0556***
    [0.0103]
    0.2831***
    [0.0191]
    Fixed effectsYearYear
    Interaction effectsCountry*Occ.Lev.
    Country*Year
    Occ.Lev.*Year
    Country*Occ.Lev.
    Country*Year
    Occ.Lev.*Year
    Observations70,62070,620
    • ↵Notes: The table reports the first-stage regressions of Specification 5 of Tables 3–5. In brackets, we report the standard errors using two-way clustering at the individual and at the year-country-occupation levels. *,**,*** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent level, respectively.

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Journal of Human Resources: 50 (3)
Journal of Human Resources
Vol. 50, Issue 3
1 Jul 2015
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What Happens to the Careers of European Workers When Immigrants “Take Their Jobs”?
Cristina Cattaneo, Carlo V. Fiorio, Giovanni Peri
Journal of Human Resources Jul 2015, 50 (3) 655-693; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.50.3.655

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What Happens to the Careers of European Workers When Immigrants “Take Their Jobs”?
Cristina Cattaneo, Carlo V. Fiorio, Giovanni Peri
Journal of Human Resources Jul 2015, 50 (3) 655-693; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.50.3.655
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