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Research ArticleArticles

Booms, Busts, and Fertility

Testing the Becker Model Using Gender-Specific Labor Demand

Jessamyn Schaller
Journal of Human Resources, January 2016, 51 (1) 1-29; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.51.1.1
Jessamyn Schaller
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Abstract

In this paper, I present estimates of the effect of local labor demand shocks on birth rates. To identify exogenous variation in male and female labor demand, I create indices that exploit cross-sectional variation in industry composition, changes in gender-education composition within industries, and growth in national industry employment. Consistent with economic theory, I find that improvements in men’s labor market conditions are associated with increases in fertility while improvements in women’s labor market conditions have smaller negative effects. I separately find that increases in unemployment rates are associated with small decreases in birth rates at the state level.

  • Received June 2013.
  • Accepted September 2014.
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Journal of Human Resources: 51 (1)
Journal of Human Resources
Vol. 51, Issue 1
1 Jan 2016
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Booms, Busts, and Fertility
Jessamyn Schaller
Journal of Human Resources Jan 2016, 51 (1) 1-29; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.51.1.1

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Booms, Busts, and Fertility
Jessamyn Schaller
Journal of Human Resources Jan 2016, 51 (1) 1-29; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.51.1.1
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  • Article
    • Abstract
    • I. Introduction
    • II. Theory and Literature
    • III. Data and Empirical Approach
    • IV. Effects of General Labor Market Conditions on Fertility
    • V. Effects of Gender-Specific Labor Market Conditions on Fertility
    • VI. Robustness
    • VII. Conclusion
    • Appendix
    • Footnotes
    • References
  • Figures & Data
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