Skip to main content

Main menu

  • Home
  • Content
    • Current
    • Ahead of print
    • Archive
    • Supplementary Material
  • Info for
    • Authors
    • Subscribers
    • Institutions
    • Advertisers
  • About Us
    • About Us
    • Editorial Board
  • Connect
    • Feedback
    • Help
    • Request JHR at your library
  • Alerts
  • Free Issue
  • Special Issue
  • Other Publications
    • UWP

User menu

  • Register
  • Subscribe
  • My alerts
  • Log in
  • My Cart

Search

  • Advanced search
Journal of Human Resources
  • Other Publications
    • UWP
  • Register
  • Subscribe
  • My alerts
  • Log in
  • My Cart
Journal of Human Resources

Advanced Search

  • Home
  • Content
    • Current
    • Ahead of print
    • Archive
    • Supplementary Material
  • Info for
    • Authors
    • Subscribers
    • Institutions
    • Advertisers
  • About Us
    • About Us
    • Editorial Board
  • Connect
    • Feedback
    • Help
    • Request JHR at your library
  • Alerts
  • Free Issue
  • Special Issue
  • Follow uwp on Twitter
  • Follow JHR on Bluesky
Research ArticleArticle
Open Access

The Impact of Family Composition on Educational Achievement

Stacey H. Chen, Yen-Chien Chen and Jin-Tan Liu
Journal of Human Resources, January 2019, 54 (1) 122-170; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.54.1.0915.7401R1
Stacey H. Chen
Stacy H. Chen is an associate professor of economics at National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS)
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Yen-Chien Chen
Yen-Chien Chen is an associate professor of economics at National Chi-Nan University, Taiwan
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Jin-Tan Liu
Jin-Tan Liu is a professor of economics at National Taiwan University and NBER
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • Article
  • Figures & Data
  • Supplemental
  • Info & Metrics
  • References
  • PDF
Loading

Article Figures & Data

Tables

  • Additional Files
    • View popup
    Table 1

    Firstborns’ Education Achievement and Family Characteristics by Completed Number of Children

     All FamiliesNumber of Children
    12+23456789+
    Frequency965,330114,286851,044411,597332,72786,22016,2383,31470318164
    Percentage10011.888.242.634.58.91.70.30.070.020.01
    Sex ratio (firstborn boys/girls)1.0711.3001.0441.3840.9380.5070.3810.4100.4000.4840.561
    High school completion0.240.260.240.300.210.140.100.080.070.060.05
    University admission0.170.170.170.200.140.090.070.050.040.030.03
    Urban (firstborn’s birthplace)0.360.500.340.420.290.230.200.190.210.190.33
    Firstborn’s year of birth19811981198119811981198119801980198019801980
    Mother’s year of birth19571955195719571958195819581958195819591959
    Father’s year of birth19541951195419531954195519541954195319531954
    Mother’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.030.070.030.050.010.010.000.000.000.000.00
        Professional degree0.050.080.040.060.030.010.010.010.000.000.00
        High school diploma0.070.090.060.080.050.030.020.020.020.010.00
        Vocational high school diploma0.190.210.190.240.160.110.080.060.050.050.05
        Junior high school diploma0.250.210.260.240.280.260.250.230.210.150.23
    Father’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.070.130.070.100.040.010.010.010.010.010.00
        Professional degree0.080.100.080.100.060.030.020.020.020.010.00
        High school diploma0.100.120.090.120.080.060.050.050.040.030.05
        Vocational high school diploma0.180.170.180.200.180.140.120.110.070.070.03
        Junior high school diploma0.230.180.230.200.260.260.250.230.220.210.17
    • Notes: This table reports descriptive statistics of characteristics of all families whose firstborn is a singleton and was born between 1978 and 1984. We exclude families with father or mother younger than 18, with missing information about child birth year, or with the number of children at some parity exceeding three.

    • View popup
    Table 2

    Demand for (Multiple) Sons—Effect of Sibling Gender Composition on Sibsize

    Dependent Variable = Sibsize(1)Add District Fixed Effect
    (2)
    Add Parents’ Education
    (3)
    BirthplaceMother’s EducationFather’s Education
    Rural
    (4)
    Urban
    (5)
    HS−
    (6)
    HS+
    (7)
    HS−
    (8)
    HS+
    (9)
    All Families
    Boy1st−0.263
    (0.002)*
    −0.263
    (0.002)*
    −0.263
    (0.002)*
    −0.288
    (0.002)*
    −0.218
    (0.003)*
    −0.295
    (0.002)*
    −0.201
    (0.003)*
    −0.296
    (0.002)*
    −0.219
    (0.002)*
    Average sibsize2.472.472.472.592.262.622.202.632.27
    Adjusted R-squared0.1580.1720.1720.1450.1520.1380.1250.1390.151
    Number of families965,330965,330965,330614,305351,025635,910329,420550,224415,106
    Families with One or More Children
    Model I
        Boy1st−0.428
    (0.002)*
    −0.429
    (0.002)*
    −0.428
    (0.002)*
    −0.463
    (0.003)*
    −0.362
    (0.004)*
    −0.471
    (0.003)*
    −0.341
    (0.003)*
    −0.469
    (0.003)*
    −0.371
    (0.003)*
        Boy2nd−0.429
    (0.002)*
    −0.429
    (0.002)*
    −0.428
    (0.002)*
    −0.463
    (0.003)*
    −0.363
    (0.004)*
    −0.469
    (0.003)*
    −0.344
    (0.003)*
    −0.470
    (0.003)*
    −0.370
    (0.003)*
        Boy1st × Boy2nd0.328
    (0.003)*
    0.327
    (0.003)*
    0.328
    (0.003)*
    0.347
    (0.004)*
    0.293
    (0.005)*
    0.350
    (0.004)*
    0.282
    (0.004)*
    0.347
    (0.004)*
    0.300
    (0.004)*
    Adjusted R-squared0.1460.1690.1930.1810.1650.1580.1390.1590.165
    Model II
        Mixed gender0.101
    (0.002)*
    0.101
    (0.002)*
    0.101
    (0.002)*
    0.116
    (0.002)*
    0.070
    (0.003)*
    0.120
    (0.002)*
    0.060
    (0.002)*
    0.122
    (0.002)*
    0.070
    (0.002)*
        Two girls0.530
    (0.002)*
    0.530
    (0.002)*
    0.529
    (0.002)*
    0.579
    (0.003)*
    0.433
    (0.004)*
    0.590
    (0.003)*
    0.403
    (0.003)*
    0.592
    (0.003)*
    0.441
    (0.003)*
    Average sibsize2.672.672.672.762.512.792.422.812.49
    Adjusted R-squared0.1460.1690.1930.1810.1650.1580.1390.1590.165
    Number of families851,044851,044851,044557,683293,361572,704278,340494,864356,180
    • Note: This table reports the OLS estimated effect of sibling gender composition on family size. Other covariates included in Columns 1–3 are the full set of dummies for urban, the subject’s age, parents’ years of birth, and maternal age at the first birth. Columns 4–5 split the sample by the urban dummy and Columns 6–9 by the indicator for mother’s or father’s high school diploma. The top panel reports the estimates for all families whose firstborn singleton was born between 1978 and 1984, and the second part of the table reports the estimates for the same set of firstborns but restricted to those having at least one sibling. Robust standard errors are in parentheses.

    • ↵* indicates significance at the 5% level. We assume in Model II that the coefficients of Boy1st and Boy2nd are approximately equal, as confirmed by the result in Model I.

    • View popup
    Table 3

    Mean Education and Characteristics of Firstborn Children in Families with Two or More Children

     Firstborn FemalesFirstborn Males
     Second Birth  Second Birth 
    (1)Before 1985
    (2)
    After 1985
    (3)
    Difference
    (4)
    (5)Before 1985
    (6)
    After 1985
    (7)
    Difference
    (8)
    Sex ratio of next siblings (boys/girls)1.0661.0701.062−0.0091.0531.0531.049−0.004
    High school completion0.2460.2070.3230.116*0.2390.2100.2960.086*
    University admission0.1770.1550.2210.066*0.1530.1380.1830.045*
    More than two children (Morethan2)0.5850.6530.452−0.202*0.4500.5160.323−0.193*
    Complete family size (sibsize)2.8032.9232.566−0.357*2.5472.6362.373−0.263*
    Age of mother at the 1st birth23.7123.5424.030.495*23.6723.5323.950.423*
    Age of mother at the 2nd birth26.2225.4027.832.422*26.2225.4227.782.360*
    Mother’s year of birth1957.21956.51958.82.301*1957.31956.51958.92.388*
    Father’s year of birth1954.01953.11955.62.496*1954.01953.21955.72.552*
    Urban0.3460.3270.3830.056*0.3430.3250.3780.053*
    Mother’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.0300.0240.0410.017*0.0300.0250.0390.014*
        Professional degree0.0420.0360.0560.020*0.0420.0360.0530.017*
        High school diploma0.0630.0550.0800.026*0.0630.0550.0790.024*
        Vocational high school diploma0.1920.1700.2360.066*0.1920.1710.2330.062*
        Junior high school diploma0.2580.2420.2910.050*0.2600.2420.2940.052*
    Father’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.0660.0560.0850.030*0.0650.0570.0820.026*
        Professional degree0.0760.0670.0930.026*0.0760.0690.0890.021*
        High school diploma0.0950.0890.1080.020*0.0940.0880.1070.019*
        Vocational high school diploma0.1820.1710.2050.035*0.1830.1710.2050.034*
        Junior high school diploma0.2310.2140.2650.051*0.2320.2120.2690.057*
    Sample Size416,315276,151140,164 434,729287,144147,585 
    • Notes: This table reports descriptive statistics of family characteristics of firstborn singletons who were born between 1978 and 1984 and had at least one sibling. Columns 2 and 6 include those whose next sibling was born before 1985, and Columns 3 and 7 include those whose next sibling was born afterwards. We exclude families with father or mother younger than 18 when their first child was born, or with missing information about child birth year, or with the number of children at some parity exceeding three.

    • ↵* indicates significance at the 5% level.

    • View popup
    Table 4

    Regressions of Birth Spacing (Measured in Days) between the First Two Births

    Dependent Variable = Spacing in DaysFirst Children Born
    1978–1984
    (1)
    Pre-1980
    (2)
    Post-1980
    (3)Next Sibling Born by 1985
    (4)
    Girl1st × Boy2nd3.97
    (2.81)
    4.23
    (3.42)
    3.80
    (4.88)
    −3.28
    (3.01)
    Girl1st−15.51
    (2.04)*
    −16.61
    (2.48)*
    −13.17
    (3.55)*
    −9.52
    (2.16)*
    Boy2nd−8.13
    (1.98)*
    −7.92
    (2.42)*
    −8.29
    (3.42)*
    1.32
    (2.11)
    Adjusted R-squared0.060.060.050.07
    Sample size850,198598,777251,421241,033
    • Notes: This table reports the OLS estimated coefficients for a regression of birth spacing between the first two births on their sex composition. We use the same sample as the regressions in Tables 6 to 11, except for 811 families whose second born children have missing or erroneous birthday information. We restrict the sample in Column 3 to those whose first child was born from 1980 onwards the sample in Column 4 to those whose first child was born from 1980 onwards and with the second birth prior to 1985. Additional covariates include the subject’s age and district of birth, indicators for urban, parents’ education and years of birth, mother’s age at first birth. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses.

    • ↵* indicates significance at the 5% level.

    • View popup
    Table 5

    Balance Check—Regression of Firstborn Demographics on the Indicator for a Next Brother

    Dependent VariableFirstborn FemalesFirstborn Males
    Unconditional
    (1)
    Control for the Other Covariates
    (2)
    Unconditional
    (3)
    Control for the Other Covariates
    (4)
    Urban (firstborn birthplace)0.00160.0000−0.00030.0000*
    Mother’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.0014*0.00080.00010.0000
        Professional degree0.00060.0003−0.0003−0.0002
        High school diploma−0.0001−0.00010.00030.0003
        Vocational high school diploma0.0030*0.00170.0028*0.0014
        Junior high school diploma−0.00190.00040.00060.0010
    Father’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.00130.00000.00100.0012*
        Professional degree0.00100.00020.00040.0007
        High school diploma0.00150.00060.00090.0011
        Vocational high school diploma0.00120.00030.00170.0013
        Junior high school diploma−0.0033*−0.0011−0.00080.0002
    • Notes: The table reports the OLS estimated coefficients of Boy2nd in a regression of urban or each parental education level. Covariates not listed here are the full set of indicators for the district of firstborn’s birthplace, parents’ years of birth, and maternal age at the first birth.

    • ↵* indicates the 5% significant level.

    • View popup
    Table 6

    Family Compositional Effects on the First Child’s Education, OLS

     Firstborn FemaleFirstborn Male
    No ControlsControlsNo ControlsControls
    (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)
    Y = High school completion 0.246  0.246  0.239  0.239 
        A next brother (D)0.0037
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0224
    (0.0014)*
    −0.0189
    (0.0023)*
    0.0018
    (0.0012)
    −0.0019
    (0.0013)
    0.0047
    (0.0022)*
    −0.0018
    (0.0013)
    −0.0092
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0082
    (0.0019)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0045
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0016
    (0.0017)
        Morethan2 (M) −0.1183
    (0.0014)*
    −0.1150
    (0.0022)*
     −0.0170
    (0.0014)*
    −0.0109
    (0.0021)*
     −0.1161
    (0.0013)
    −0.1150
    (0.0018)*
     −0.0278
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0245
    (0.0018)*
        A next brother
            (D) × Morethan2 (M)
      −0.0059
    (0.0029)*
      −0.0109
    (0.0027)*
      −0.0022
    (0.0025)
      −0.0065
    (0.0024)*
    Y = University Admission 0.177  0.177  0.153  0.153 
        A next brother (D)0.0038
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0159
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0140
    (0.0021)*
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    −0.0007
    (0.0011)
    0.0042
    (0.0020)*
    0.0013
    (0.0011)
    −0.0036
    (0.0011)*
    −0.0025
    (0.0016)
    0.0006
    (0.0010)
    −0.0006
    (0.0010)
    0.0018
    (0.0015)
        Morethan2 (M) −0.0894
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0876
    (0.0020)*
     −0.0133
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0087
    (0.0019)*
     −0.0767
    (0.0011)*
    −0.0754
    (0.0015)*
     −0.0182
    (0.0011)*
    −0.0155
    (0.0015)*
        A next brother
            (D) × Morethan2 (M)
      −0.0032
    (0.0026)
      −0.0083
    (0.0024)*
      −0.0025
    (0.0021)
      −0.0053
    (0.0021)*
    • Notes: This table reports the OLS results of how the firstborn’s education is associated with the sex of the secondborn (D), having more than two children (M), and their interaction. We also report in Appendix Table A5 the corresponding results with M being measured by sibsize. We include 416,315 firstborn females and 434,729 firstborn males born between 1978 and 1984 who have at least one sibling. We control for the full set of dummies for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and mother’s age at the first birth. The sample mean of the educational outcome (Y) is in italics, and robust standard errors are in parentheses.

    • View popup
    Table 7

    First-Stage Estimates

     Firstborn FemalesFirstborn Males
    (1)(2)(3)(4)
    Panel 1: Dependent Variable = Morethan20.590.590.450.45
    A next brother (D)−0.219
    (0.001)*
    −0.221
    (0.001)*
    −0.063
    (0.001)*
    −0.064
    (0.001)*
    Twin2nd0.436
    (0.004)*
    0.322
    (0.005)*
    0.572
    (0.003)*
    0.539
    (0.005)*
    Twin2nd × A next brother (D) 0.223
    (0.007)*
     0.067
    (0.007)*
    F-statistics for twins effect11,9738,68026,12314,081
    Multivariate first-stage F-statistic 2,046 5,892
    Panel 2: Dependent Variable = Morethan2 × A next brother (D)
    A next brother (D)0.480
    (0.001)*
    0.476
    (0.001)*
    0.419
    (0.001)*
    0.416
    (0.001)*
    Twin2nd0.278
    (0.005)*
    0.011
    (0.003)*
    0.305
    (0.006)*
    0.010
    (0.002)*
    Twin2nd × A next brother (D) 0.526
    (0.004)*
     0.586
    (0.003)*
    F-statistics for twins effect2,87519,2512,79727,981
    Multivariate first-stage F-statistic 5,110 12,866
    Panel 3: Dependent Variable = Sibsize2.802.802.552.55
    A next brother (D)−0.428
    (0.002)*
    −0.428
    (0.002)*
    −0.100
    (0.002)*
    −0.101
    (0.002)*
    Twin2nd0.622
    (0.012)*
    0.616
    (0.019)*
    0.720
    (0.010)*
    0.711
    (0.014)*
    Twin2nd × A next brother (D) 0.012
    (0.024)
     0.018
    (0.020)
    F-statistics for twins effect2,8171,5685,2582,649
    Multivariate first-stage F-statistic 488 1,191
    Panel 4: Dependent Variable = Sibsize × A next brother (D)
    A next brother (D)2.596
    (0.002)*
    2.592
    (0.002)*
    2.498
    (0.001)*
    2.493
    (0.001)*
    Twin2nd0.317
    (0.008)*
    0.015
    (0.004)*
    367.000
    (0.010)*
    0.013
    (0.003)*
    Twin2nd × A next brother (D) 0.593
    (0.013)*
     0.701
    (0.014)*
    F-statistics for twins effect1,3721,2031,4891,474
    Multivariate first-stage F-statistic 3,472 6,300
    • Notes: Panels 1 and 3 of this table report the first-stage estimates for fertility choice, using twinning at the second birth (Twin2nd) as instrument. Panels 2 and 4 report the first-stage estimates for the interaction between a next brother D and fertility choice, using D × Twin2nd as instrument. An interaction term for D × Twin2nd is included in Columns 2 and 4 when the interaction between D and fertility choice is included in the outcome equation. We include 416,315 firstborn females and 434,729 first born males born between 1978 and 1984 who have at least one sibling. Additional covariates include the full set of indicators for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and mother’s age at the first birth. The multivariate first-stage F-statistics are constructed as described in Angrist and Pischke (2009, p. 217–218). Means of the fertility choice variable are in italics, and robust standard errors are in parentheses.

    • View popup
    Table 8

    Outcome Equations and Decomposed Effects of Sibling Gender on High School Completion (with Morethan2 as Mediating Variable)

    Dependent Variable = High School CompletionFirstborn FemalesFirstborn Males
    OLS
    (1)
    2SLS
    (2)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (3)
    OLS Interact
    (4)
    2SLS Interact
    (5)
    OLS
    (6)
    2SLS
    (7)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (8)
    OLS Interact
    (9)
    2SLS Interact
    (10)
    A Next Brother (D)−0.0019
    (0.0013)
    −0.0056
    (0.0039)
    −0.0034
    (0.0038)
    0.0047
    (0.0020)*
    −0.0651
    (0.0261)*
    −0.0045
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0040
    (0.0015)*
    −0.0040
    (0.0015)*
    −0.0016
    (0.0016)
    −0.0128
    (0.0126)
    Morethan2 (M)−0.0170
    (0.0014)*
    −0.0342
    (0.0171)*
    −0.0240
    (0.0165)
    −0.0109
    (0.0020)*
    −0.0955
    (0.0342)*
    −0.0278
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0198
    (0.0132)
    −0.0198
    (0.0132)
    −0.0245
    (0.0018)*
    −0.0307
    (0.0203)
    A Next Brother (D) × Morethan2 (M)   −0.0109
    (0.0026)*
    0.0960
    (0.0401)*
       −0.0065
    (0.0024)*
    0.0193
    (0.0275)
    Decomposition
        Average total effect0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
        Average indirect effect0.0038
    (0.0003)*
    0.0075
    (0.0038)
    0.0053
    (0.0036)
    0.0024
    (0.0004)*
    0.0211
    (0.0075)*
    0.0018
    (0.0001)*
    0.0013
    (0.0008)
    0.0013
    (0.0008)
    0.0016
    (0.0001)*
    0.0020
    (0.0013)
        Average direct effect−0.0019
    (0.0013)
    −0.0056
    (0.0039)
    −0.0034
    (0.0038)
    −0.0005
    (0.0013)
    −0.0192
    (0.0076)*
    −0.0045
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0041
    (0.0015)*
    −0.0040
    (0.0015)*
    −0.0043
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0048
    (0.0018)*
        Controlled direct effect−0.0019
    (0.0013)
    −0.0056
    (0.0039)
    −0.0034
    (0.0038)
    −0.0017
    (0.0013)
    −0.0089
    (0.0045)*
    −0.0045
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0041
    (0.0015)*
    −0.0040
    (0.0015)*
    −0.0045
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0041
    (0.0015)*
        Difference CDE – ADE   −0.0012
    (0.0003)*
    0.0102
    (0.0043)*
       −0.0002
    (0.0001)*
    0.0006
    (0.0009)
    Sample mean  0.246    0.239 
    • Notes: This table reports OLS and IV estimates for the educational outcome equation (with university admission as dependent variable) and decomposed effects of sibling gender on the outcome, with fertility choice being measured by Morethan2. The corresponding results for fertility choice being measured by Sibsize are reported in Table 11. The first-stage F-statistics are reported in Table 7. The samples include 416,315 firstborn females and 434,729 firstborn males, who were born between 1978 and 1984 and have at least one sibling. We exclude the interaction between the twins instrument and sibling gender from the first stage for Columns 2 and 7, while we include it for Columns 3 and 8 in order to be comparable to Columns 5 and 10. The decomposed effects are measured according to Equations 4–6 as summarized: AIE = β2{E[M|D = 1] – E[M|D = 0]}, ADE = β1 + β3E[M|D = 1], CDE = β1 + β3E[M]. AIE and ADE are evaluated at the conditional mean of M=Morethan2: (E[M|D = 1], E[M|D = 0]) = (0.4787, 0.6992) for firstborn females and (0.4191, 0.4831) for firstborn males, while CDE is evaluated at the unconditional mean E[M] = 0.5854 for firstborn females and 0.4503 for firstborn males. We control for the full set of dummies for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and mother’s age at the first birth. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses.

    • View popup
    Table 9

    Outcome Equations and Decomposed Effects of Sibling Gender on University Admission (with Morethan2 as Mediating Variable)

    Dependent Variable = University AdmissionFirstborn FemalesFirstborn Males
    OLS
    (1)
    2SLS
    (2)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (3)
    OLS Interact
    (4)
    2SLS Interact
    (5)
    OLS
    (6)
    2SLS
    (7)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (8)
    OLS Interact
    (9)
    2SLS Interact
    (10)
    A Next Brother (D)−0.0007
    (0.0012)
    −0.0035
    (0.0036)
    −0.0020
    (0.0035)
    0.0042
    (0.0018)*
    −0.0429
    (0.0235)
    −0.0006
    (0.0011)
    −0.0002
    (0.0013)
    −0.0001
    (0.0013)
    0.0018
    (0.0014)
    −0.0122
    (0.0109)
    Morethan2 (M)−0.0133
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0263
    (0.0154)
    −0.0196
    (0.0149)
    −0.0088
    (0.0018)*
    −0.0669
    (0.0309)*
    −0.0182
    (0.0011)*
    −0.0119
    (0.0114)
    −0.0112
    (0.0114)
    −0.0155
    (0.0016)*
    −0.0261
    (0.0176)
    A Next Brother (D) × Morethan2 (M)   −0.0081
    (0.0024)*
    0.0636
    (0.0362)
       −0.0053
    (0.0021)*
    0.0266
    (0.0238)
    Decomposition
        Average total effect0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0022
    (0.0011)*
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
        Average indirect effect0.0029
    (0.0003)*
    0.0058
    (0.0034)
    0.0043
    (0.0033)
    0.0019
    (0.0004)*
    0.0148
    (0.0068)*
    0.0012
    (0.0001)*
    0.0008
    (0.0007)
    0.0007
    (0.0007)
    0.0010
    (0.0001)*
    0.0017
    (0.0011)
        Average direct effect−0.0007
    (0.0012)
    −0.0035
    (0.0036)
    −0.0020
    (0.0035)
    0.0003
    (0.0012)
    −0.0125
    (0.0069)
    −0.0006
    (0.0011)
    −0.0002
    (0.0013)
    −0.0001
    (0.0013)
    −0.0004
    (0.0011)
    −0.0011
    (0.0015)
        Controlled direct effect−0.0007
    (0.0012)
    −0.0035
    (0.0036)
    −0.0020
    (0.0035)
    −0.0005
    (0.0012)
    −0.0057
    (0.0040)
    −0.0006
    (0.0011)
    −0.0002
    (0.0013)
    −0.0001
    (0.0013)
    −0.0006
    (0.0011)
    −0.0003
    (0.0013)
        Difference CDE – ADE   −0.0009
    (0.0003)*
    0.0068
    (0.0039)
       −0.0002
    (0.0001)
    0.0008
    (0.0007)
    Sample mean  0.177    0.153  
    • Notes: This table reports OLS and IV estimates for the educational outcome equation (with university admission as dependent variable) and decomposed effects of sibling gender on the outcome, with fertility choice being measured by Morethan2. The corresponding results for fertility choice being measured by Sibsize are reported in Table 11. The first-stage F-statistics are reported in Table 7. The samples include 416,315 firstborn females and 434,729 firstborn males, who were born between 1978 and 1984 and have at least one sibling. We exclude the interaction between the twins instrument and sibling gender from the first stage for Columns 2 and 7, while we include it for Columns 3 and 8 in order to be comparable to Columns 5 and 10. The decomposed effects are measured according to Equations 4–6 as summarized: AIE = β2{E[M|D = 1] – E[M|D = 0]}, ADE = β1 + β3E[M|D = 1], CDE = β1 + β3E[M]. AIE and ADE are evaluated at the conditional mean of M=Morethan2: (E[M|D = 1], E[M|D = 0]) = (0.4787, 0.6992) for firstborn females and (0.4191, 0.4831) for firstborn males, while CDE is evaluated at the unconditional mean E[M] = 0.5854 for firstborn females and 0.4503 for firstborn males. We control for the full set of dummies for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and mother’s age at the first birth. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses.

    • View popup
    Table 10

    Outcome Equations and Decomposed Effects of Sibling Gender on High School Completion (with Sibsize as Mediating Variable)

    Dependent Variable = High School CompletionFirstborn FemalesFirstborn Males
    OLS
    (1)
    2SLS
    (2)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (3)
    OLS Interact
    (4)
    2SLS Interact
    (5)
    OLS
    (6)
    2SLS
    (7)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (8)
    OLS Interact
    (9)
    2SLS Interact
    (10)
    A Next Brother (D)−0.0044
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0084
    (0.0053)
    −0.0083
    (0.0053)
    0.0133
    (0.0045)*
    −0.1498
    (0.0717)*
    −0.0051
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0044
    (0.0016)*
    −0.0044
    (0.0016)*
    0.0099
    (0.0046)*
    −0.0396
    (0.0556)
    Sibsize (M)−0.0146
    (0.0008)*
    −0.0239
    (0.0119)*
    −0.0237
    (0.0119)*
    −0.0120
    (0.0010)*
    −0.0495
    (0.0177)*
    −0.0233
    (0.0009)*
    −0.0162
    (0.0105)
    −0.0161
    (0.0105)
    −0.0206
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0232
    (0.0154)
    A Next Brother (D) × Sibsize (M)   −0.0064
    (0.0016)*
    0.0502
    (0.0254)*
       −0.0059
    (0.0017)*
    0.0138
    (0.0218)
    Decomposition
        Average total effect0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0012)
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0028
    (0.0012)*
        Average indirect effect0.0063
    (0.0004)*
    0.0103
    (0.0051)*
    0.0102
    (0.0051)*
    0.0052
    (0.0005)*
    0.0213
    (0.0076)*
    0.0024
    (0.0001)*
    0.0017
    (0.0011)
    0.0016
    (0.0011)
    0.0021
    (0.0001)*
    0.0024
    (0.0016)
        Average direct effect−0.0044
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0084
    (0.0053)
    −0.0083
    (0.0053)
    −0.0033
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0194
    (0.0077)*
    −0.0051
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0044
    (0.0016)*
    −0.0044
    (0.0016)*
    −0.0048
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0052
    (0.0020)*
        Controlled direct effect−0.0044
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0084
    (0.0053)
    −0.0083
    (0.0053)
    −0.0046
    (0.0013)*
    −0.0089
    (0.0053)
    −0.0051
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0044
    (0.0016)*
    −0.0044
    (0.0016)*
    −0.0051
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0044
    (0.0016)
        Difference CDE – ADE   −0.00130.0105   −0.00030.0007
    Sample mean  0.246    0.239  
    • Notes: This table reports OLS and IV estimates for the educational outcome equation (with high school admission as dependent variable) and decomposed effects of sibling gender on the outcome, with fertility choice being measured by Sibsize. The corresponding results for fertility choice being measured by Morethan2 are reported in Table 8. The first-stage F-statistics are reported in Table 7. The samples include 416,315 firstborn females and 434,729 firstborn males, who were born between 1978 and 1984 and have at least one sibling. We exclude the interaction between the twins instrument and sibling gender from the first stage for Columns 2 and 7, while we include it for Columns 3 and 8 in order to be comparable to Columns 5 and 10. The decomposed effects are measured according to Equations 4–6 as summarized: AIE = β2{E[M|D = 1] – E[M|D = 0]}, ADE = β1 + β3E[M|D = 1], CDE = β1 + β3E[M]. AIE and ADE are evaluated at the conditional mean of M = Sibsize: (E[M|D = 1], E[M|D = 0]) = (2.5947, 3.0255) for first born females and (2.4975, 2.5993) for first born males, while CDE is evaluated at the unconditional mean E[M] = 2.8032 for firstborn females and 2.5471 for firstborn males. We control for the full set of dummies for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and mother’s age at the first birth. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses.

    • View popup
    Table 11

    Outcome Equations and Decomposed Effects of Sibling Gender on University Admission (with Sibsize as Mediating Variable)

    Dependent Variable = High School CompletionFirstborn FemalesFirstborn Males
    OLS
    (1)
    2SLS
    (2)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (3)
    OLS Interact
    (4)
    2SLS Interact
    (5)
    OLS
    (6)
    2SLS
    (7)
    2SLS 1st-Stage Interact
    (8)
    OLS Interact
    (9)
    2SLS Interact
    (10)
    A Next Brother (D)−0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0056
    (0.0048)
    −0.0056
    (0.0048)
    0.0104
    (0.0041)*
    −0.0954
    (0.0648)
    −0.0010
    (0.0011)
    −0.0004
    (0.0014)
    −0.0004
    (0.0014)
    0.0103
    (0.0040)*
    −0.0520
    (0.0482)
    Sibsize (M)−0.0119
    (0.0008)*
    −0.0184
    (0.0108)
    −0.0183
    (0.0108)
    −0.0100
    (0.0009)*
    −0.0347
    (0.0160)
    −0.0156
    (0.0008)*
    −0.0095
    (0.0091)
    −0.0094
    (0.0091)
    −0.0135
    (0.0011)*
    −0.0198
    (0.0133)
    A Next Brother (D) × Sibsize (M)   −0.0048
    (0.0014)*
    0.0319
    (0.0229)
       −0.0044
    (0.0015)*
    0.0202
    (0.0189)
    Decomposition
        Average total effect0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0023
    (0.0011)
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0023
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    0.0011
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
    0.0006
    (0.0011)
        Average indirect effect0.0051
    (0.0003)*
    0.0079
    (0.0047)
    0.0079
    (0.0047)
    0.0043
    (0.0004)*
    0.0149
    (0.0069)
    0.0016
    (0.0001)*
    0.0010
    (0.0009)
    0.0010
    (0.0009)
    0.0014
    (0.0001)*
    0.0020
    (0.0014)
        Average direct effect−0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0056
    (0.0048)
    −0.0056
    (0.0048)
    −0.0020
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0126
    (0.0070)
    −0.0010
    (0.0011)
    −0.0004
    (0.0014)
    −0.0004
    (0.0014)
    −0.0008
    (0.0011)
    −0.0014
    (0.0017)
        Controlled direct effect−0.0028
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0056
    (0.0048)
    −0.0056
    (0.0048)
    −0.0030
    (0.0012)*
    −0.0060
    (0.0048)
    −0.0010
    (0.0011)
    −0.0004
    (0.0014)
    −0.0004
    (0.0014)
    −0.0010
    (0.0011)
    −0.0004
    (0.0014)
        Difference CDE – ADE   −0.0010
    (0.0003)*
    0.0067
    (0.0048)
       −0.0002
    (0.0001)*
    0.0010
    (0.0009)
    Sample mean  0.177    0.153  
    • Notes: This table reports OLS and IV estimates for the educational outcome equation (with university admission as dependent variable) and decomposed effects of sibling gender on the outcome, with fertility choice being measured by Sibsize. The corresponding results for fertility choice being measured by Morethan2 are reported in Table 9. The first-stage F-statistics are reported in Table 7. The samples include 416,315 firstborn females and 434,729 firstborn males, who were born between 1978 and 1984 and have at least one sibling. We exclude the interaction between the twins instrument and sibling gender from the first stage for Columns 2 and 7, while we include it for Columns 3 and 8 in order to be comparable to Columns 5 and 10. The decomposed effects are measured according to Equations 4–6 as summarized: AIE = β2{E[M|D = 1] – E[M|D = 0]}, ADE = β1 + β3E[M|D = 1], CDE = β1 + β3E[M]. AIE and ADE are evaluated at the conditional mean of M = Sibsize: (E[M|D = 1], E[M|D = 0]) = (2.5947, 3.0255) for first born females and (2.4975, 2.5993) for first born males, while CDE is evaluated at the unconditional mean E[M] = 2.8032 for firstborn females and 2.5471 for firstborn males. We control for the full set of dummies for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and mother’s age at the first birth. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses.

    • View popup
    Table 12

    Robustness Checks, Using Data from Firstborn Females

     High School CompletionUniversity Admission
    Baseline Estimates
    (1)
    Add Birthweight Percentile
    (2)
    Add Gestation Length
    (3)
    Add Birth
    Spacing
    (4)
    Baseline Estimates
    (5)
    Add Birthweight Percentile
    (6)
    Add Gestation Length
    (7)
    Add Birth
    Spacing
    (8)
    A next brother (D)−0.0651
    (0.0261)*
    −0.0529
    (0.0260)*
    −0.0598
    (0.0272)*
    −0.0641
    (0.0257)*
    −0.0429
    (0.0235)
    −0.0325
    (0.0235)
    −0.0354
    (0.0246)
    −0.0420
    (0.0232)
    Morethan2 (M)−0.0955
    (0.0342)*
    −0.0685
    (0.0344)
    −0.0963
    (0.0354)*
    −0.0737
    (0.0333)*
    −0.0669
    (0.0309)*
    −0.0446
    (0.0311)
    −0.0609
    (0.0320)
    −0.0652
    (0.0301)*
    A next brother (D) × Morethan2 (M)0.0960
    (0.0401)*
    0.0829
    (0.0401)*
    0.0836
    (0.0419)*
    0.0748
    (0.0398)
    0.0636
    (0.0362)
    0.0520
    (0.0363)
    0.0497
    (0.0379)
    0.0624
    (0.0359)
    Mean birthweight percentile of 2nd birth 0.0210
    (0.0023)*
       0.0176
    (0.0021)*
      
    Gestational length of 2nd birth  −0.0004
    (0.0007)
       −0.0001
    (0.0006)
     
    Ln (birth spacing between first 2 births)   −0.0071
    (0.0044)
       −0.0074
    (0.0040)
    Decomposition
        Average total effect0.0019
    (0.0012)
    0.0019
    (0.0013)
    0.0014
    (0.0013)
    0.0020
    (0.0012)
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
    0.0022
    (0.0011)*
    0.0018
    (0.0011)
    0.0023
    (0.0011)*
        Average indirect effect0.0211
    (0.0075)*
    0.0151
    (0.0076)
    0.0212
    (0.0078)*
    0.0207
    (0.0073)*
    0.0148
    (0.0068)*
    0.0098
    (0.0069)
    0.0134
    (0.0071)
    0.0144
    (0.0066)*
        Average direct effect−0.0192
    (0.0076)*
    −0.0133
    (0.0076)
    −0.0199
    (0.0079)*
    −0.0187
    (0.0074)*
    −0.0125
    (0.0069)
    −0.0076
    (0.0069)
    −0.0116
    (0.0072)
    −0.0121
    (0.0067)
    Sample mean0.2460.2480.2470.2460.1770.1780.1780.177
    Sample size416,315410,203403,775415,897416,315410,203403,775415,897
    • Notes: This table reports robustness checks on the 2SLS results for the educational outcome equation and the decomposed effects of sibling gender on firstborn females. Though not reported here, we find no evidence of nonlinearity in gestation length. Since boys are heavier than girls at birth on average, we use gender-specific birthweight percentiles and calculate the mean percentile of secondborn twins. We control implicitly for the full set of dummies for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and maternal age at the first birth. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. Estimates for firstborn males are reported in Appendix Table A7.

    • View popup
    Table 13

    OLS Regression of Twin 2nd on Parental Education

    Observed Family BackgroundDependent Variable: Twin2nd
    Firstborn FemaleFirstborn Male
    (1)(2)(3)(4)
    Panel A: Full Sample
    Sample mean0.00700.00700.00640.0064
    Mother’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.0019*0.00200.00060.0003
        Professional degree0.00130.0014−0.0001−0.0006
        High school diploma0.00030.00040.00090.0004
        Vocational high school diploma0.0009*0.0009*−0.0001−0.0005
        Junior high school diploma0.00060.00060.0001−0.0001
    Father’s highest qualification
        College degree+ −0.0001 0.0006
        Professional degree −0.0001 0.0016*
        High school diploma 0.0002 0.0008
        Vocational high school diploma −0.0002 0.0010*
        Junior high school diploma 0.0004 0.0007*
    Sample size416,315416,315434,729434,729
    Adjusted R-square0.000150.000140.000100.00012
    Panel B: First Two Births Before 1985
    Sample mean0.00650.00650.00590.0059
    Mother’s highest qualification
        College degree+0.00240.00200.00040.0010
        Professional degree0.00130.00100.00070.0005
        High school diploma0.00070.00060.0015*0.0013
        Vocational high school diploma0.00090.00080.0001−0.0002
        Junior high school diploma0.00010.00010.00040.0002
    Father’s highest qualification
        College degree+ 0.0006 −0.0011
        Professional degree 0.0005 0.0015*
        High school diploma −0.0002 0.0007
        Vocational high school diploma −0.0003 0.0009*
        Junior high school diploma 0.0003 0.0004
    Sample size276,151276,151287,144287,144
    Adjusted R-square0.000160.000150.000220.00025
    • Notes: This table reports the OLS estimated coefficient of demographic covariates in the regression D or Twin2nd by firstborn gender, conditional on the full set of indicators for urban, the firstborn’s age and district of birthplace, parents’ years of birth, and maternal age at the first birth.

    • ↵* indicates significance at the 5% level.

    • View popup
    Table 14

    First-Stage, Reduced-Form, Second-Stage, and Decomposition Results

     Firstborn Females Dependent VariableFirstborn Males Dependent Variable
    More-than2High School CompletionUniversity AdmissionMore-than2High School CompletionUniversity Admission
    (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)
    A next brother (D)−0.221*0.002−0.065*0.002−0.429−0.064*−0.003*−0.0130.001−0.012
        Twin2nd0.322*−0.030* −0.021* 0.539*−0.016 −0.014 
        Twin2nd × A next brother (D)0.223*0.029 0.019 0.067*0.009 0.014 
        Morethan2  −0.096* −0.067*  −0.031 −0.026
        Morethan2 × A next brother (D)  0.096* 0.064  0.019 0.027
    Decomposition
        Average total effect  0.002 0.002*  −0.003* 0.001
        Average indirect effect  0.021* 0.015*  0.002 0.002
        Average direct effect  −0.019* −0.013  −0.005* −0.001
    Sample mean0.5850.2460.2460.1770.1770.4500.2390.2390.1530.153
    N416,315416,315416,315416,315416,315434,729434,729434,729434,729434,729
    Restricted sample with close spacing ≤18 months
    A next brother (D)−0.199*0.000−0.0860.002−0.111−0.086*−0.0020.0020.001−0.027
        Twin2nd0.172*−0.009 −0.017 −0.373*−0.010 −0.020 
        Twin2nd × A next brother (D)0.204*0.031 0.030 −0.085*−0.008 0.014 
        Morethan2  −0.055 −0.107  −0.027 −0.054
        Morethan2 × A next brother (D)  0.117 0.142  −0.012 0.042
    Decomposition
        Average total effect  0.000 0.017  −0.002 0.001
        Average indirect effect  0.011 0.021  0.002 0.005
        Average direct effect  −0.011 −0.019  −0.005 −0.003
    Sample mean0.7360.1990.1990.1420.1420.6040.2000.2000.1290.129
    N143,975143,975143,975143,975143,975143,975143,724143,724143,724143,724
    • Notes: This table reports the first-stage, reduced-form, second-stage, and decomposition results by firstborn gender. All regressions include the full set of indicators for urban, the subject’s age and district of birth, parents’ education and years of birth, and maternal age at the first birth. In the bottom panel, we restrict the sample to families with an interval between the first two births no more than 18 months. The samples include firstborn children who were born between 1978 and 1984 and have at least one sibling.

    • ↵* indicates significance at the 5% level.

Additional Files

  • Tables
  • Free alternate access to The Journal of Human Resources supplementary materials is available at https://uwpress.wisc.edu/journals/journals/jhr-supplementary.html

    • JHRv54n01_article04_ChenChenLiu_OnlineApp.pdf
PreviousNext
Back to top

In this issue

Journal of Human Resources: 54 (1)
Journal of Human Resources
Vol. 54, Issue 1
1 Jan 2019
  • Table of Contents
  • Table of Contents (PDF)
  • Index by author
  • Back Matter (PDF)
  • Front Matter (PDF)
Print
Download PDF
Article Alerts
Sign In to Email Alerts with your Email Address
Email Article

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word on Journal of Human Resources.

NOTE: We only request your email address so that the person you are recommending the page to knows that you wanted them to see it, and that it is not junk mail. We do not capture any email address.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
The Impact of Family Composition on Educational Achievement
(Your Name) has sent you a message from Journal of Human Resources
(Your Name) thought you would like to see the Journal of Human Resources web site.
Citation Tools
The Impact of Family Composition on Educational Achievement
Stacey H. Chen, Yen-Chien Chen, Jin-Tan Liu
Journal of Human Resources Jan 2019, 54 (1) 122-170; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.54.1.0915.7401R1

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero
Share
The Impact of Family Composition on Educational Achievement
Stacey H. Chen, Yen-Chien Chen, Jin-Tan Liu
Journal of Human Resources Jan 2019, 54 (1) 122-170; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.54.1.0915.7401R1
Twitter logo Facebook logo Mendeley logo
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One
Bookmark this article

Jump to section

  • Article
    • Abstract
    • I. Introduction
    • II. Data and Descriptive Analysis
    • III. Empirical Strategy
    • IV. Empirical Results
    • V. Conclusion
    • Footnotes
    • References
  • Figures & Data
  • Supplemental
  • Info & Metrics
  • References
  • PDF

Related Articles

  • Google Scholar

Cited By...

  • No citing articles found.
  • Google Scholar

More in this TOC Section

  • The Consequences of Performance Standards in Need-Based Aid
  • In-State College Enrollment and Later Life Location Decisions
  • The Journal of Human Resources Referees Volume 55
Show more Article

Similar Articles

Keywords

  • J1
  • I25
  • O15
UW Press logo

© 2025 Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System

Powered by HighWire