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Research ArticleArticles

Brothers in Arms

Spillovers from a Draft Lottery

Paul Bingley, Petter Lundborg and Stéphanie Vincent Lyk-Jensen
Journal of Human Resources, January 2021, 56 (1) 225-268; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.56.1.0317-8646R3
Paul Bingley
Professor at VIVE-The Danish Center for Social Science Research, Herluf Trolles Gade 11, 1052 Copenhagen, Denmark
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  • For correspondence: [email protected]
Petter Lundborg
Professor at Lund University, IZA, P.O. Box 7082, SE-220 07, Lund, Sweden
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Stéphanie Vincent Lyk-Jensen
Senior researcher at VIVE-The Danish Center for Social Science Research, Herluf Trolles Gade 11, 1052 Copenhagen, Denmark
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Abstract

While family members tend to have similar labor market outcomes, measuring the contribution of behavioral spillovers is difficult. To identify spillovers between brothers, we exploit Denmark’s largest random assignment of young men—to eight months of military service, where service status of brothers is correlated, but draft lottery numbers are not. We find average spillovers of elder brother service on younger brother service of 7 percent, and as high as 55 percent for closely spaced brothers without sisters. Elder brother’s military service affects his own occupational choice and his younger brother’s service by discouraging any refusal to serve.

JEL Classification:
  • J24
  • J38
  • I38
  • H56
  • Received March 2017.
  • Accepted February 2019.
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Journal of Human Resources: 56 (1)
Journal of Human Resources
Vol. 56, Issue 1
Winter 2021
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Brothers in Arms
Paul Bingley, Petter Lundborg, Stéphanie Vincent Lyk-Jensen
Journal of Human Resources Jan 2021, 56 (1) 225-268; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.56.1.0317-8646R3

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Brothers in Arms
Paul Bingley, Petter Lundborg, Stéphanie Vincent Lyk-Jensen
Journal of Human Resources Jan 2021, 56 (1) 225-268; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.56.1.0317-8646R3
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  • Article
    • Abstract
    • I. Introduction
    • II. Military Service in Denmark
    • III. Method
    • IV. Data
    • V. Results
    • VI. Conclusion
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Keywords

  • J24
  • J38
  • I38
  • H56
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