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Open Access

Is There a Male-Breadwinner Norm? The Hazards of Inferring Preferences from Marriage Market Outcomes

View ORCID ProfileAriel J. Binder and View ORCID ProfileDavid Lam
Journal of Human Resources, November 2022, 57 (6) 1885-1914; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.58.2.0320-10803R1
Ariel J. Binder
Ariel J. Binder is an Economist within the U.S. Census Bureau’s Center for Economic Studies. This paper was completed while he was a Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Economics and Pre-Doctoral trainee in the Population Studies Center at the University of Michigan.
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  • ORCID record for Ariel J. Binder
David Lam
David Lam is a Professor in the Department of Economics and Research Professor in the Population Studies Center at the University of Michigan, and a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research ().
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  • For correspondence: davidl{at}umich.edu
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  • Figure 1
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    Figure 1 Distributions of Gender Relative Income in the 2000 U.S. Census

    Notes: Panel A is Figure III of Bertrand, Kamenica, and Pan (Marianne Bertrand, Emir Kamenica, and Jessica Pan. 2015. “Gender Identity and Relative Income within Households.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 130 (2):571–614, by permission of Oxford University Press). Panel B is our replication. Each graph is based on a sample of dual-earning married couples in which both husband and wife are between 18 and 65 years of age. Each graph plots a 20-bin histogram of the distribution, across couples, of the share of total household income that was earned by the wife. The dashed lines depict the lowess smoother applied to each histogram, allowing for a break at 0.5.

  • Figure 2
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    Figure 2 Distribution of Gender Relative Income in the 2000 U.S. Census: Couples Aged 18–40 without Children

    Notes: The sample includes dual-earning married couples who do not have children and where both husband and wife are between 18 and 40 years of age. The figure plots a 20-bin histogram of the distribution, across couples, of the share of total household income that was earned by the wife. The dashed lines depict the lowess smoother applied to the histogram, allowing for a break at 0.5.

  • Figure 3
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    Figure 3 Distributions of Gender Relative Income inthe2000 U.S. Census: Actual and Random Sorting

    Notes: The sample is the same as in Figure 2. The figure plots a 20-bin histogram of the actual distribution of the wife’s share of total spousal earnings (“Actual Sorting”) and a 20-bin histogram of a simulated distribution based on random sorting of couples (“Random Sorting”). The dashed lines represent the lowess smoother applied to each histogram on either side of 0.5.

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    Figure 4 Distributions of Gender Relative Income in the 2000 U.S. Census: Actual Sorting and Simulated Sorting with Exogenous Earnings

    Notes: The sample is the same as in Figure 2. The figure plots a 20-bin histogram of the actual distribution of the wife’s share of total spousal earnings (“Actual Sorting”) and a 20-bin histogram of a simulated distribution based on assortative matching of couples on observed income plus noise (“Simulated Sorting”). See Section IV. B for further detail on the simulation. The dashed lines represent the lowess smoother applied to each histogram on either side of 0. 5.

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    Figure 5 Distributions of Gender Relative Income in the 2000 U.S. Census: Actual Sorting and Simulated Sorting with Endogenous Earnings

    Notes: The sample is the same as in Figure 2. The figure plots a 20-bin histogram of the actual distribution of the wife’s share of total spousal earnings (“Actual Sorting”) and a 20-bin histogram of a simulated distribution based on assortative matching of couples on potential income plus noise (“Simulated Sorting”) and in which the wife’s observed earnings are endogenized via a neoclassical labor supply decision. See Section IV.B for further detail on the simulation. The dashed lines represent the lowess smoother applied to each histogram on either side of 0.5.

  • Figure 6
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    Figure 6 Distributions of Gender Relative Income in U.S. Administrative Record Sample

    Notes: Panel A is Figure I of Bertrand, Kamenica, and Pan (Marianne Bertrand, Emir Kamenica, and Jessica Pan. 2015. “Gender Identity and Relative Income within Households.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 130 (2):571–614, by permission of Oxford University Press). The data underlying this graph are administrative income data from the SIPP–SSA Gold Standard File covering the 1990–2004 SIPP panels. Panel B is our replication. We use the latest version of the Gold Standard File, which includes the 1984 and 2008 SIPP panels as well. The sample in each graph includes all dual-earning couples aged 18–65, with income information taken from the first year the couple was observed in the SIPP panel. See Section V for further discussion. Each graph plots 20-bin histograms of the observed distribution of the wife’s share of total spousal earnings. The dashed lines represent the lowess smoother applied to each histogram on either side of 0.5.

  • Figure 7
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    Figure 7 Distributions of Gender Relative Income in U.S. Administrative Record Data: Couples who Earn Close to the Same Incomes

    Notes: The sample is the same as in Panel B of Figure 6, but is restricted to couples in which the wife earns between 45 and 55 percent of total income. The graph in the top panel retains the point mass of couples earning identical incomes; the graph in the bottom panel excludes it. The bin size used in both graphs is 0.001; each graph contains 100 bins.

Tables

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    Table 1

    Spousal Height Differences, UK Millennium Cohort Study

    Husband Height Minus Wife Height (cm)Proportion in:Ratio of Actual to Random
    Actual DistributionRandom Distribution
    <-100.6%1.3%0.47
    −10 to −51.5%2.6%0.58
    −5 to 01.9%2.5%0.77
    0 to 58.5%8.7%0.97
    5 to 1016.3%14.5%1.12
    10 to 1521.3%19.2%1.11
    15 to 2020.7%19.7%1.05
    20 to 2515.3%15.8%0.97
    25 to 308.8%9.4%0.94
    30 to 353.7%4.2%0.87
    >351.4%2.1%0.66
    • Notes: Data taken from Table 1 of Stulp et al. (2013).

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    Table 2

    Model Calibration

    ParameterSymbolCalibrated Value
    Mean, male log earningsμm10.350
    SD, male log earningsσm0.750
    Mean, female log potential earningsμf10.160
    SD, female log potential earningsσm0.700
    Mean, disutility of workψ0.002
    SD, disutility of workσψ0.001
    Earnings-disutility correlation, femalesρ−0.400
    SD, transitory earnings shock (1,000s)σu13.000
    Targets in the DataDataModel
    Mean, male log earnings10.35010.350
    SD, male log earnings0.7500.750
    Mean, female log earnings10.0009.980
    SD, female log earnings0.8700.870
    Gender earnings ratio, all0.7400.710
    Gender earnings ratio, full-timers only0.8000.790
    Labor force-participation rate, females0.8800.910
    Full-time employment rate, females0.6700.670
    • Notes: Calibration of model discussed in Section IV.B.

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    Table 3

    Different Treatments of the Point Mass Produce Different Discontinuity Estimates

    BandwidthBin SizeHypothesized Breakpoint
    0.5000010.4999990.5 (Omit Point Mass)
    0.0840.0016−0.124***0.064**−0.034
    (0.031)(0.031)(0.032)
    0.0450.0016−0.184***0.129***−0.031
    (0.040)(0.040)(0.043)
    0.0230.0016−0.310***0.240***−0.040
    (0.055)(0.055)(0.061)
    0.0110.0005−0.575***0.451***−0.078
    (0.078)(0.081)(0.091)
    • Notes: Sample of spousal earnings data taken from the SIPP-SSA Gold Standard Files. See Section V for discussion of the sample. The first reported bandwidth and bin size correspond to those automatically selected by the McCrary (2008) test algorithm. McCrary (2008) recommends using a small bandwidth than the automatically selected one, as is done in the second through fourth rows. Point estimates report the change in log height of the density function as one travels from just left of the hypothesized breakpoint to just right of it. Asymptotic standard errors reported below coefficient estimates in parentheses; standard statistical significance legend used.

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    Appendix Table A1

    Distributions of Gender Relative Income in 2000 Census: Including versus Excluding Business Income

    Including Business EarningsExcluding Business Earnings
    AllDual-EarnersAllDual-Earners
    00.2280.244
    0+ to 0.100.0720.0990.0620.092
    0.10+ to 0.200.0820.1130.0740.109
    0.20+ to 0.300.1080.1480.1000.148
    0.30+ to 0.400.1390.1910.1330.196
    0.40+ to 0.500.1530.2110.1480.218
    0.50+ to 0.600.0960.1320.0910.135
    0.60+ to 0.700.0400.0550.0370.054
    0.70+ to 0.800.0200.0270.0170.026
    0.80+ to 0.900.0110.0160.0100.014
    0.90+ to 1-0.0070.0090.0060.009
    10.0440.078
    • Notes: Sample of married couples taken from the 2000 census in which both husband and wife are between 18 and 65 years of age and with positive total earnings. Columns 2 and 4 restrict the sample to dual-earning couples. Columns 3 and 4 exclude business income.

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Journal of Human Resources: 57 (6)
Journal of Human Resources
Vol. 57, Issue 6
1 Nov 2022
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Is There a Male-Breadwinner Norm? The Hazards of Inferring Preferences from Marriage Market Outcomes
Ariel J. Binder, David Lam
Journal of Human Resources Nov 2022, 57 (6) 1885-1914; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.58.2.0320-10803R1

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Is There a Male-Breadwinner Norm? The Hazards of Inferring Preferences from Marriage Market Outcomes
Ariel J. Binder, David Lam
Journal of Human Resources Nov 2022, 57 (6) 1885-1914; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.58.2.0320-10803R1
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  • Article
    • ABSTRACT
    • I. Introduction
    • II. Related Literature
    • III. Applying Becker’s Theory of Marriage to the Study of Social Norms
    • IV. The Skewed Distribution of Spousal Earnings Differences in the U.S. Does Not Imply a Male-Breadwinner Norm
    • V. Discontinuity or Point Mass? Assessing Alternative Evidence for a Male-Breadwinner Norm
    • VI. Discussion
    • Appendix
    • Footnotes
    • References
  • Figures & Data
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