Skip to main content

Main menu

  • Home
  • Content
    • Current
    • Ahead of print
    • Archive
    • Supplementary Material
    • Free Issue
    • Special Issues
  • Info for
    • Authors
    • Subscribers
    • Institutions
    • Advertisers
  • About Us
    • About Us
    • Editorial Board
  • Connect
    • Feedback
    • Help
    • Request JHR at your library
    • Alerts
  • Announcements
  • Special Issue
  • Other Publications
    • UW Press Journals

User menu

  • Register
  • Subscribe
  • My alerts
  • Log in
  • My Cart

Search

  • Advanced search
Journal of Human Resources
  • Other Publications
    • UW Press Journals
  • Register
  • Subscribe
  • My alerts
  • Log in
  • My Cart
Journal of Human Resources

Advanced Search

  • Home
  • Content
    • Current
    • Ahead of print
    • Archive
    • Supplementary Material
    • Free Issue
    • Special Issues
  • Info for
    • Authors
    • Subscribers
    • Institutions
    • Advertisers
  • About Us
    • About Us
    • Editorial Board
  • Connect
    • Feedback
    • Help
    • Request JHR at your library
    • Alerts
  • Announcements
  • Special Issue
  • Follow uwp on Twitter
  • Follow JHR on Bluesky
Research ArticleArticles

Declining Outmigration and Local Labor Markets

View ORCID ProfileEmily Conover, View ORCID ProfileMelanie Khamis and View ORCID ProfileSarah Pearlman
Journal of Human Resources, November 2023, 58 (6) 1948-1973; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.1219-10616R3
Emily Conover
Emily Conover is a Professor of Economics at Hamilton College (econover{at}hamilton.edu).
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for Emily Conover
Melanie Khamis
Melanie Khamis is a Professor of Economics at Wesleyan University and an IZA research fellow.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for Melanie Khamis
Sarah Pearlman
Sarah Pearlman is a Professor of Economics at Vassar College and an IZA research fellow.
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for Sarah Pearlman
  • Article
  • Figures & Data
  • Supplemental
  • Info & Metrics
  • References
  • PDF
Loading

References

  1. ↵
    1. Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina, and
    2. Susan Pozo
    . 2006. “Migration, Remittances and Male and Female Employment Patterns.” American Economic Review 92(2): 222–26.
    OpenUrl
    1. Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina, and
    2. Susan Pozo
    . 2012. “Remittance Income Volatility and Labor Supply in Mexico.” Southern Economic Journal 79(2): 257–76.
    OpenUrl
  2. ↵
    1. Caballero, Maria Esther,
    2. Brian C. Cadena, and
    3. Brian K. Kovak
    . 2021. “The International Transmission of Local Economic Shocks through Migrant Networks.” NBER Working Paper 28696. Cambridge, MA: NBER.
  3. ↵
    1. Cadena, Brian C., and
    2. Brian K. Kovak
    . 2016. “Immigrants Equilibrate Local Labor Markets: Evidence from the Great Recession.” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 8(1): 257–90.
    OpenUrl
  4. ↵
    1. Campos-Vázquez, Raymundo M.,
    2. Luis F. Lopez-Calva, and
    3. Nora Lustig
    . 2016. “Declining Wages for College-Educated Workers in Mexico: Are Younger or Older Cohorts Hurt the Most?” Revista de Economía Mundial 43: 93–112.
    OpenUrl
  5. ↵
    1. Cano-Urbina, Javier
    . 2015. “The Role of the Informal Sector in the Early Careers of Less-Educated Workers.” Journal of Development Economics 112: 33–55.
    OpenUrl
  6. ↵
    1. Card, David
    . 2001. “Immigrant Inflows, Native Outflows, and the Local Labor Market Impacts of Higher Immigration.” Journal of Labor Economics 19(1): 22–64.
    OpenUrlCrossRefWeb of Science
  7. ↵
    1. Castellanos, Sara G.,
    2. Rodrigo García-Verdú, and
    3. David S. Kaplan
    . 2004. “Nominal Wage Rigidities in Mexico: Evidence from Social Security Records.” Journal of Development Economics 75(2): 507–33.
    OpenUrl
  8. ↵
    1. Chiquiar, Daniel, and
    2. Gordon H. Hanson
    . 2005. “International Migration, Self-Selection, and the Distribution of Wages: Evidence from Mexico and the United States.” Journal of Political Economy 113(2): 239–81.
    OpenUrlCrossRefWeb of Science
  9. ↵
    1. Chort, Isabelle, and
    2. Maëlys de la Rupelle
    . 2016. “Determinants of Mexico–U.S. Outward and Return Migration Flows: A State-Level Panel Data Analysis.” Demography 53(5): 1453–76.
    OpenUrl
  10. ↵
    1. Conover, Emily,
    2. Melanie Khamis, and
    3. Sarah Pearlman
    . 2021. “Gender Imbalances and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Large-Scale Mexican Migration.” IZA Journal of Development and Migration 12(1): 2.
    OpenUrl
  11. ↵
    1. Edo, Anthony
    . 2019. “The Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market.” Journal of Economic Surveys 33(3): 922–48.
    OpenUrl
  12. ↵
    1. EMIF. El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, Unidad de Política Migratoria, Registro e Identidad de Personas, Consejo Nacional de Población, Consejo Nacional para Prevenir la Discriminación, Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social, Secretaría de Relaciones Exteriores, Secretaría de Bienestar (BIENESTAR)
    . 2019. “Encuesta sobre Migración en la Frontera Norte de México.” www.colef.mx/emif (accessed May 23, 2023).
  13. ↵
    1. ENADID
    . 2009. “Encuesta Nacional de la Dinámica Demográfica.” INEGI.
  14. ↵
    1. ENADID
    . 2014. “Encuesta Nacional de la Dinámica Demográfica.” INEGI.
  15. ↵
    1. Fairris, David,
    2. Gurleen Popli, and
    3. Eduardo Zepeda
    . 2008. “Minimum Wages and the Wage Structure in Mexico.” Review of Social Economy 66(2): 181–208.
    OpenUrl
  16. ↵
    1. Fajardo, Gustavo,
    2. Emilio Gutiérrez, and
    3. Horacio Larreguy
    . 2017. “Taking One for the Team: Shocks at Destination and Households’ Supply of Migrants.” CAF Working paper Number 2017/10, Buenos Aires: CAF. http://scioteca.caf.com/handle/123456789/1082 (accessed May 15, 2023).
  17. ↵
    1. Fernández-Huertas Moraga, Jesús
    . 2011. “New Evidence on Emigrant Selection.” Review of Economics and Statistics 93(1): 72–96.
    OpenUrl
  18. ↵
    1. Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan, and
    2. Federico S. Mandelman
    . 2016. “Remittances, Entrepreneurship, and Employment Dynamics over the Business Cycle.” Journal of International Economics 103: 184–199.
    OpenUrl
  19. ↵
    1. Flood, Sarah,
    2. Miriam King,
    3. Steven Ruggles, and
    4. J. Robert Warren
    . 2017. “Integrated Public Use Microdata Series, Current Population Survey: Version 5.0 [data set].” Minneapolis, MN: University of Minnesota. https://doi.org/10.18128/D030.V5.0
  20. ↵
    1. Gambetti, Luca, and
    2. Julián Messina
    . 2018. “Evolving Wage Cyclicality in Latin America.” World Bank Economic Review 32(3): 709–26.
    OpenUrl
  21. ↵
    1. Goldsmith-Pinkham, Paul,
    2. Isaac Sorkin, and
    3. Henry Swift
    . 2020. “Bartik Instruments, What, When, Why and How?” American Economic Review 110(8): 2586–624.
    OpenUrl
  22. ↵
    1. Gonzalez-Barrera, Ana
    . 2015. “More Mexicans Leaving Than Coming to the U.S.” Technical Report, Hispanic Trends. Washington, DC: Pew Research Center. https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2015/11/19/more-mexicans-leaving-than-coming-to-the-u-s/
  23. ↵
    1. Hanson, Gordon H.
    2007. “Emigration, Remittances and Labor Force Participation in Mexico.” Integration and Trade Journal 27(11): 73–103.
    OpenUrl
  24. ↵
    1. Jaeger, David A.,
    2. Joakim Ruist, and
    3. Jan Stuhler
    . 2018. “Shift-Share Instruments and the Impact of Immigration.” NBER Working Paper 24285. Cambridge, MA: NBER.
  25. ↵
    1. Juarez, Laura, and
    2. Daniel Casarin de la Cabada
    . 2018. “Downward Wage Rigidities in the Mexican Labor Market 1996–2011.” Economía 19(1): 129–80.
    OpenUrl
  26. ↵
    1. Lafortune, Jeanne,
    2. Ethan Lewis, and
    3. José Tessada
    . 2019. “People and Machines: A Look at the Evolving Relationship between Capital and Skill in Manufacturing, 1860–1930, Using Immigration Shocks.” Review of Economics and Statistics 101(1): 30–43.
    OpenUrl
  27. ↵
    1. Levy, Santiago
    . 2008. Good Intentions, Bad Outcomes: Social Policy, Informality and Economic Growth in Mexico. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press.
  28. ↵
    1. Massey, Douglas S.,
    2. Jorge Durand, and
    3. Karen A. Pren
    . 2014. “Explaining Undocumented Migration to the U.S.” International Migration Review 48(4): 1028–61.
    OpenUrlCrossRef
  29. ↵
    1. Mishra, Prachi
    . 2007. “Emigration and Wages in Source Countries: Evidence from Mexico.” Journal of Development Economics 82(1): 180–99.
    OpenUrlCrossRefWeb of Science
  30. ↵
    1. Moreno-Brid, Juan Carlos,
    2. Stefanie Garry, and
    3. Alice Krozer
    . 2016. “Minimum Wages and Inequality in Mexico: A Latin American Perspective.” Revista de Economía Mundial (43): 113–29.
  31. ↵
    1. Norlander, Peter, and
    2. Todd A. Sorensen
    . 2018. “21st Century Slowdown: The Historic Nature of Recent Declines in the Growth of the Immigrant Population in the United States.” Migration Letters 15(3): 409–22.
    OpenUrl
  32. ↵
    1. Orrenius, Pia M., and
    2. Madeline Zavodny
    . 2005. “Self-Selection among Undocumented Immigrants from Mexico.” Journal of Development Economics 78(1): 215–40.
    OpenUrlCrossRefWeb of Science
  33. ↵
    1. Patt, Alexander,
    2. Jens Ruhose,
    3. Simon Wiederhold, and
    4. Miguel Flores
    . 2021. “International Emigrant Selection on Occupational Skills.” Journal of the European Economic Association 19(2): 1249–98.
    OpenUrl
  34. ↵
    1. Price, Joseph,
    2. Christian vom Lehm, and
    3. Riley Wilson
    . 2020. “The Winners and Losers of Immigration: Evidence from Linked Historical Data.” NBER Working Paper 27156. Cambridge, MA: NBER.
  35. ↵
    1. Rani, Uma,
    2. Patrick Belser,
    3. Martin Oelz, and
    4. Setareh Ranjbar
    . 2013. “Minimum Wage Coverage and Compliance in Developing Countries.” International Labour Review 152(3–4): 381–410.
    OpenUrl
  36. ↵
    1. Rendall, Michael S.,
    2. Peter Brownell, and
    3. Sarah Kups
    . 2011. “Declining Return Migration from the United States to Mexico in the Late-2000s Recession: A Research Note.” Demography 48(3): 1049–58.
    OpenUrlCrossRefPubMedWeb of Science
  37. ↵
    1. Rendall, Michael S., and
    2. Susan W. Parker
    . 2014. “Two Decades of Negative Educational Selectivity of Mexican Migrants to the United States.” Population and Development Review 40(3): 421–46.
    OpenUrl
  38. ↵
    1. Sanchez-Romeu, Paula, and
    2. Ernesto Rattia Lima
    . 2015. “Strategies of Adjustment before Hypothetical Shocks of Supply and Demand: Results of a Survey of Mexican Companies.” Trimestre Economico 82(327): 617–74.
    OpenUrl
  39. ↵
    1. Theoharides, Caroline
    . 2018. “Manila to Malaysia, Quezon to Qatar: International Migration and the Effects on Origin-Country Human Capital.” Journal of Human Resources 53(4): 1022–49.
    OpenUrlAbstract/FREE Full Text
    1. Villareal, Andrés
    . 2014. “Explaining the Decline in Mexico–U.S. Migration: The Effect of the Great Recession.” Demography 51(6): 2203–28.
    OpenUrlCrossRefPubMed
  40. ↵
    1. Wang, Qing
    . 2018. “Male Migration and Female Labor Market Attachment: New Evidence from the Mexican Family Life Survey.” International Migration Review 52(1): 66–89.
    OpenUrl
  41. ↵
    1. Woodruff, Christopher, and
    2. Rene Zenteno
    . 2007. “Migration Networks and Microenterprises in Mexico.” Journal of Development Economics 82(2): 509–28.
    OpenUrlCrossRefWeb of Science
  42. ↵
    1. Yang, Dean
    . 2008. “International Migration, Remittances and Household Investment: Evidence from Philippine Migrants’ Exchange Rate Shocks.” Economic Journal 118(528): 591–630.
    OpenUrl
PreviousNext
Back to top

In this issue

Journal of Human Resources: 58 (6)
Journal of Human Resources
Vol. 58, Issue 6
1 Nov 2023
  • Table of Contents
  • Table of Contents (PDF)
  • Index by author
  • Back Matter (PDF)
  • Front Matter (PDF)
Print
Download PDF
Article Alerts
Sign In to Email Alerts with your Email Address
Email Article

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word on Journal of Human Resources.

NOTE: We only request your email address so that the person you are recommending the page to knows that you wanted them to see it, and that it is not junk mail. We do not capture any email address.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
Declining Outmigration and Local Labor Markets
(Your Name) has sent you a message from Journal of Human Resources
(Your Name) thought you would like to see the Journal of Human Resources web site.
Citation Tools
Declining Outmigration and Local Labor Markets
Emily Conover, Melanie Khamis, Sarah Pearlman
Journal of Human Resources Nov 2023, 58 (6) 1948-1973; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.1219-10616R3

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero
Share
Declining Outmigration and Local Labor Markets
Emily Conover, Melanie Khamis, Sarah Pearlman
Journal of Human Resources Nov 2023, 58 (6) 1948-1973; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.1219-10616R3
Twitter logo Facebook logo Mendeley logo
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One
Bookmark this article

Jump to section

  • Article
    • ABSTRACT
    • I. Introduction
    • II. Data
    • III. Empirical Strategy
    • IV. First Stage
    • V. Second Stage
    • VI. Heterogeneity by Education
    • VII. Remittances
    • VIII. Robustness Checks
    • IX. Conclusion
    • Footnotes
    • References
  • Figures & Data
  • Supplemental
  • Info & Metrics
  • References
  • PDF

Related Articles

  • Google Scholar

Cited By...

  • Immigration Enforcement and Origin Country Labor Markets
  • Google Scholar

More in this TOC Section

  • Firm and Worker Responses to Extensions in Paid Maternity Leave
  • COVID-19 Learning Loss and Recovery
  • A Peace Baby Boom?
Show more Articles

Similar Articles

Keywords

  • J21
  • J16
  • J31
  • O15
UW Press logo

© 2026 Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System

Powered by HighWire