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Research ArticleArticle

Drug Violence and Migration Flows: Lessons from the Mexican Drug War

Sandra Orozco-Aleman and Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano
Published online before print April 19, 2017, 0215-6948R4; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.53.3.0215-6948R4
Sandra Orozco-Aleman
Sandra Orozco-Aleman is an assistant professor of economics at the Department of Finance and Economics at Mississippi State University. Heriberto Gonzalez Lozano is a clinical assistant professor of economics at the Department of Finance and Economics at Mississippi State University.
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Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano
Sandra Orozco-Aleman is an assistant professor of economics at the Department of Finance and Economics at Mississippi State University. Heriberto Gonzalez Lozano is a clinical assistant professor of economics at the Department of Finance and Economics at Mississippi State University.
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Abstract

We examine the effect of the increase in violence that Mexico experienced after launching an aggressive campaign against drug-trafficking organizations on immigration into the U.S. We instrument for violence using electoral cycles, and consider two channels through which violence impacts migration: local and transit violence. Violence at the municipality of residence increased migration. Conversely, violence on the route to the U.S. deterred individuals from migrating. Back-of-the-envelope calculations show that between 2007 and 2012, local and transit violence had an overall positive effect on migration. Violence was responsible for a 1.53 percentage point increase in the migration rate.

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Journal of Human Resources: 58 (3)
Journal of Human Resources
Vol. 58, Issue 3
1 May 2023
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Drug Violence and Migration Flows: Lessons from the Mexican Drug War
Sandra Orozco-Aleman, Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano
Journal of Human Resources Apr 2017, 0215-6948R4; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.53.3.0215-6948R4

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Drug Violence and Migration Flows: Lessons from the Mexican Drug War
Sandra Orozco-Aleman, Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano
Journal of Human Resources Apr 2017, 0215-6948R4; DOI: 10.3368/jhr.53.3.0215-6948R4
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