PT  - JOURNAL ARTICLE
AU  - Guerra-Cújar, María Elvira
AU  - Prem, Mounu
AU  - Rodríguez-Lesmes, Paul
AU  - Vargas, Juan F.
TI  - A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement
AID  - 10.3368/jhr.1222-12701R1
DP  - 2024 May 08
TA  - Journal of Human Resources
PG  - 1222-12701R1
4099  - http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/early/2024/05/01/jhr.1222-12701R1.short
4100  - http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/early/2024/05/01/jhr.1222-12701R1.full
AB  - Violence affects households’ preferences, perceptions, and constraints regarding fertility choices. What happens when violence ends? Using administrative data from Colombia, we find that the end of a long internal conflict differentially increased fertility by 3.2 percent in areas exposed to violence. The effect is present across all reproductive ages and larger in municipalities with higher levels of violence exposure at baseline. This differential fertility increase is not driven by health supply indicators, by the mortality of newborns and infants, or by differential migration. We provide evidence consistent with an increased perception of security, higher returns for childbearing, and more parental investment.