RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement
JF Journal of Human Resources
JO J Hum Resour
FD University of Wisconsin Press
SP 1222-12701R1
DO 10.3368/jhr.1222-12701R1
A1 Guerra-Cújar, María Elvira
A1 Prem, Mounu
A1 Rodríguez-Lesmes, Paul
A1 Vargas, Juan F.
YR 2024
UL http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/early/2024/05/01/jhr.1222-12701R1.abstract
AB Violence affects households’ preferences, perceptions, and constraints regarding fertility choices. What happens when violence ends? Using administrative data from Colombia, we find that the end of a long internal conflict differentially increased fertility by 3.2 percent in areas exposed to violence. The effect is present across all reproductive ages and larger in municipalities with higher levels of violence exposure at baseline. This differential fertility increase is not driven by health supply indicators, by the mortality of newborns and infants, or by differential migration. We provide evidence consistent with an increased perception of security, higher returns for childbearing, and more parental investment.