TY - JOUR T1 - Fertility Policy Adjustments and Female Labor Supply: Estimation of Marginal Treatment Effect Using Chinese Census Data JF - Journal of Human Resources JO - J Hum Resour DO - 10.3368/jhr.0620-10989R3 SP - 0620-10989R3 AU - Shenglong Liu AU - Tianyu Jin AU - Meng Li AU - Shaojie Zhou Y1 - 2022/06/10 UR - http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/early/2022/06/01/jhr.0620-10989R3.abstract N2 - Using microdata from the sixth census, we estimate the marginal treatment effect of fertility on female labor supply in rural China based on the generalized Roy Model. We find that the decline in childbearing willingness leads to an increasing negative impact of fertility on female labor supply, particularly for women with higher educational attainment. In the context of the universal two-child policy, the policyrelevant treatment effects shows that weekly labor supply falls by 7.5–12.3 hours after having a second child. Our research implies that female labor supply should be taken into consideration when certain fertility incentive policies are introduced. ER -