RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 Fertility Policy Adjustments and Female Labor Supply: Estimation of Marginal Treatment Effect Using Chinese Census Data
JF Journal of Human Resources
JO J Hum Resour
FD University of Wisconsin Press
SP 0620-10989R3
DO 10.3368/jhr.0620-10989R3
A1 Shenglong Liu
A1 Tianyu Jin
A1 Meng Li
A1 Shaojie Zhou
YR 2022
UL http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/early/2022/06/01/jhr.0620-10989R3.abstract
AB Using microdata from the sixth census, we estimate the marginal treatment effect of fertility on female labor supply in rural China based on the generalized Roy Model. We find that the decline in childbearing willingness leads to an increasing negative impact of fertility on female labor supply, particularly for women with higher educational attainment. In the context of the universal two-child policy, the policyrelevant treatment effects shows that weekly labor supply falls by 7.5–12.3 hours after having a second child. Our research implies that female labor supply should be taken into consideration when certain fertility incentive policies are introduced.