RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 Cash Transfers and Fertility
JF Journal of Human Resources
JO J Hum Resour
FD University of Wisconsin Press
SP 783
OP 818
DO 10.3368/jhr.59.1.0220-10725R2
VO 58
IS 3
A1 González, Libertad
A1 Trommlerová, Sofia Karina
YR 2023
UL http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/58/3/783.abstract
AB We study the effects of a universal child benefit on fertility in Spain in the 2000s using administrative, population-level data, identifying separately the effects driven by conceptions and abortions. We exploit the timing of the introduction and cancellation of the policy to infer when the effects on abortions and births can be expected. We find that the introduction led to a 3 percent increase, the announcement of the cancellation to a transitory 4 percent increase, and the cancellation to a 6 percent decrease in birth rates. We perform heterogeneity analysis and find suggestive evidence of both a timing (“tempo”) and a level effect (“quantum”).