PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Kearney, Melissa Schettini TI - Is There an Effect of Incremental Welfare Benefits on Fertility Behavior? AID - 10.3368/jhr.XXXIX.2.295 DP - 2004 Mar 31 TA - Journal of Human Resources PG - 295--325 VI - XXXIX IP - 2 4099 - http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/XXXIX/2/295.short 4100 - http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/XXXIX/2/295.full SO - J Hum Resour2004 Mar 31; XXXIX AB - This analysis exploits the variation across states in the timing of policy implementation to determine if family cap policies lead to a reduction in births to women aged 15 to 34. Vital statistics birth data for the years 1989 to 1998 offer no such evidence. The data reject a decline in births of more than one percent. The finding is robust to multiple specification checks. The data also reject large declines in higher-order births among demographic groups with high welfare participation rates.