RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Is There an Effect of Incremental Welfare Benefits on Fertility Behavior? JF Journal of Human Resources JO J Hum Resour FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 295 OP 325 DO 10.3368/jhr.XXXIX.2.295 VO XXXIX IS 2 A1 Kearney, Melissa Schettini YR 2004 UL http://jhr.uwpress.org/content/XXXIX/2/295.abstract AB This analysis exploits the variation across states in the timing of policy implementation to determine if family cap policies lead to a reduction in births to women aged 15 to 34. Vital statistics birth data for the years 1989 to 1998 offer no such evidence. The data reject a decline in births of more than one percent. The finding is robust to multiple specification checks. The data also reject large declines in higher-order births among demographic groups with high welfare participation rates.