Table 3

Correlates of Math Success Measures: OLS Estimates

Independent VariableAlgebra I Test ScoresPass Algebra I by Tenth GradePass Geometry by Eleventh GradePass Algebra II by Twelfth Grade
Enrolled in Algebra I by eighth grade−0.0965***
(0.017)
0.130***
(0.008)
0.0488***
(0.007)
0.0915***
(0.008)
Year entered seventh grade (2000 omitted)
    20010.0141*
(0.006)
−0.0351***
(0.002)
0.0538***
(0.002)
0.138***
(0.003)
    20020.102***
(0.004)
−0.0106***
(0.002)
0.0269***
(0.002)
0.0585***
(0.001)
    2003−0.0624***
(0.005)
−0.0567***
(0.002)
0.0402***
(0.002)
0.00802***
(0.001)
    2004−0.0783***
(0.005)
−0.0782***
(0.002)
0.00530*
(0.002)
−0.0170***
(0.001)
    20050.0486***
(0.004)
−0.164***
(0.002)
0.0440***
(0.002)
0.0238***
(0.002)
N122,246136,524136,524136,524
Adjusted R20.6560.4430.4930.405
  • Notes: Standard errors, corrected for clustering at the sixth/seventh grade math decile-cohort-district level, in parentheses. Algebra I test score is taken from the student’s first test administration. Course passage for Algebra I and Algebra II is defined as obtaining a standardized test score at or above the twentieth percentile of the statewide distribution. Course passage for Geometry is defined as obtaining an achievement level at or above 3 on the test. Grade-retained students are kept with their original cohort. District and decile fixed effects included but coefficients are not shown in this table. Sample includes CMS, Guilford, and the Group 1 districts identified in Table 2b.

  • *** denotes a coefficient significant at the 0.1 percent level,

  • ** the 1 percent level,

  • * the 5 percent level.