Table 4a

Selected Coefficients of LPM on Specific Grades - Twelfth Graders 2000–2009

Dependent variable: A (93–100 percent) × 100Specification 1Specification 2
Explanatory variablesBoysGirlsBoysGirls
Subjective school ability44.46(53.8)70.88(72.7)
Educational expectationsa
    Army−2.33(4.5)−0.13(−0.2)0.31(0.5)2.34(2.4)
    Vocational−3.95(−7.2)−3.93(−6.5)−3.52(−5.6)−3.94(−5.7)
    Two-year college−9.95(−22.0)−11.41(−24.5)−7.54 (−14.5)−7.04(−12.7)
    Four-year college3.67(6.1)4.38(6.4)0.15(0.2)0.57(0.8)
Graduate or professional13.71(24.6)10.40(18.5)8.66(14.1)4.10(6.4)
Education aspirationsb
    Army−2.51(−5.1)−2.21(−3.1)
    Vocational−0.14(−0.3)1.15(1.9)
    Two-year college0.24(0.5)−0.20(−0.4)
    Four-year college−1.74(−4.0)−1.32(−2.5)
    Graduate or professional1.64(4.3)2.07(5.0)
High school program
    Academic5.90(9.4)9.09(13.0)1.29(2.1)2.01(3.0)
    General−1.43(−2.3)−0.29(−0.4)−2.83(−4.7)−1.89(−2.8)
    Vocational2.47(3.1)4.78(9.4)−0.25(−0.3)1.33(1.4)
Cigarette smoking: less than one-half pack−4.93(−12.4)−7.79(−17.7)−3.64(−9.4)−6.11(−14.5)
Alcohol binging last two weeks: two to nine times−4.98(−12.0)−5.25(−9.8)−4.66 (−11.6)−4.01(−7.8)
Father not same household−1.23(−3.1)−2.32(−5.7)−0.87(−2.2)−1.89(−4.9)
Mother working: all the time−3.86(−8.3)−4.76(−9.5)−3.51(−7.8)−3.84(−8.0)
Father: completed college0.91(2.0)2.88(6.0)0.13(0.3)1.71(3.7)
Mother: completed college1.42(3.3)2.94(6.3)0.66(1.6)1.45(3.2)
Works over school year−3.09(−2.6)0.32(0.2)−2.21(−1.9)2.14(1.5)
Constant25.24(28.4)28.76(29.6)−1.31(−1.3)−13.36(−11.4)
R-squared0.120.130.170.20
Number of observations49,32856,15649,32856,156
  • Notes: Dependent variable is set to 100 if the student has a GPA of 4, and to 0 otherwise. T-statistics are in parentheses. The base group for Alcohol binging and Cigarette smoking is none, Mother working is not working, Father’s and Mother’s education is high school, for High school program is other. The coefficients of the other variables and categories included in the regression are reported in Fortin, Oreopoulos, and Phipps (2013).

  • a Index of educational expectations constructed from the four categories: definitively won’t, probably won’t, probably will, definitively will.

  • b Educational aspirations measured with binary variable: want to attend.