Table 5
Estimated Average Marginal Effects on Probability of Exit from Unemployment UI Ineligible (Placebo) Sample
| Model | January 2000–February 2005 | January 2007–October 2012 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  |  |  | |
| Single risk | −0.0053 (0.0195) | 0.0138 (0.0252) | −0.0320 (0.0098) | −0.0065 (0.0330) |
| Exit to employment | 0.0034 (0.0184) | −0.0080 (0.0208) | 0.0152 (0.0084) | −0.0181 (0.0184) |
| Exit to NILF | −0.0094 (0.0189) | 0.0251 (0.0206) | −0.0466 (0.0101) | 0.0123 (0.0243) |
Notes:
is the average marginal effect on the exit probability of the indicator for availability of extended benefits. is the average marginal effect of the indicator for the last month of availability of benefits. See note to Table 4 for details. The sample for January 2000–February 2005 includes 30,721 matched monthly observations on 23,176 spells of unemployment. The sample for January 2007–October 2012 includes 44,590 matched monthly observations on 32,133 spells of unemployment for job leavers and new entrants to the labor force.
