Table 4

Effect of Violence in the Probability of Migrating to the United States: OLS Results 2007–2012

Homicide RateTwo-Year Homicide RateThree-Year Homicide RateCumulative Homicide Rate
(1)(2)(3)(4)
Panel A: Dependent Variable: Migration Rate
Homicide rate0.0003*0.0002**0.0001*0.0000
(0.0001)(0.0001)(0.0001)(0.0001)
[0.03][0.043][0.03][0.00]
Observations12,09012,09012,09012,090
R-squared0.30850.30860.30850.3083
Panel B: Regressions by Region
Homicide rate*northern0.00029***0.00024***0.00020***0.00012**
(0.0001)(0.0001)(0.0001)(0.0001)
Homicide rate*central0.000700.00058*0.00062*0.00072**
(0.0005)(0.0003)(0.0003)(0.0003)
Homicide rate*southern0.000440.000130.00005-0.00034
(0.0005)(0.0003)(0.0004)(0.0003)
Homicide rate*western-0.0009-0.00027-0.00057-0.00077*
(0.0010)(0.0006)(0.0005)(0.0004)
Observations12,09012,09012,09012,090
R-squared0.30880.30880.30900.3098

Notes: Elasticities shown in square brackets. Standard errors are robust and clustered by municipality. Regressions include fixed effects by year and municipality. *p < 0.1, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01.