Table 3

Model Parameter Estimates

DescriptionParameterEstimateaStandard Errorb
Utilityc
    Leisure type 1α0, type135.44*5.48
    Leisure type 2α0, type213.25*2.07
    Leisure type 3α0, type3−25.00*7.43
    Leisure type 4α0, type45.25*0.96
    Leisure type 5α0, type510.00*2.05
    Leisure type 6α0, type614.62*1.2
    Leisure × younger childrenα0,13.04*0.37
    Leisure × older childrenα0,21.98*0.35
    Leisure × marriedα0,3−5.62*0.62
    Leisure × blackα0,4−0.57
    Leisure × Hispanicα0,51.290.93
    Leisure × collegeα0,62.44*0.69
    Leisure × age childα0,7−0.10*0.05
    Childcare type 1α1, type18.45*0.98
    Childcare type 2α1, type22.33*0.74
    Childcare type 3α1, type31.951.88
    Childcare type 4α1, type4−0.050.14
    Childcare type 5α1, type52.92*0.85
    Childcare type 6α1, type61.39*0.52
    Childcare × age childα1,20.47*0.05
    Childcare × older childrenα1,3−1.88*0.26
    Childcare × marriedα1,40.120.1
    Childcare × blackα1,5−0.640.43
    Childcare × Hispanicα1,6−0.640.62
    Childcare × collegeα1,72.87*0.47
    Disutility work and no careα2−2.26*0.36
    Consumption × leisureα36.30*0.65
    Consumption × leisure × marriedα43.17*0.74
    Cognitive skillsα51.55*0.39
    Habit persistence no workα60.50.26
    Habit persistence part-time workα74.50*0.61
    Habit persistence full-time workα89.15*1.47
    Habit persistence home careα90.10.12
    Habit persistence part-time careα102.55*0.31
    Habit persistence full-time careα110.000.31
    SD leisure shockσ18.97*0.61
    SD childcare utility shockσcc0.58*0.23
Initial cognitive skills
    Cognitive endowment (type 1)Embedded Image0.622.36
    Cognitive endowment (type 2)Embedded Image−1.122.13
    Cognitive endowment (type 3)Embedded Image−0.090.47
    Cognitive endowment (type 4)Embedded Image0.780.44
    Cognitive endowment (type 5)Embedded Image−0.883.75
    Cognitive endowment (type 6)Embedded Image−0.321.55
    BlackEmbedded Image−0.110.17
    HispanicEmbedded Image0.008650.14
    CollegeEmbedded Image0.030.11
    MarriedEmbedded Image−0.120.24
Cognitive achievement production function
    Interceptδ0−0.05*0.02
    Value-addedδ10.81*0.07
    Inputδ20.29*0.08
    SD cognitive skill shocksσθ0.280.17
Childcare quality offer distribution
    Childcare quality mean (type 1)Embedded Image−1.240.91
    Childcare quality mean (type 2)Embedded Image−0.10.63
    Childcare quality mean (type 3)Embedded Image−0.40*0.16
    Childcare quality mean (type 4)Embedded Image−0.40*0.16
    Childcare quality mean (type 5)Embedded Image−0.11.07
    Childcare quality mean (type 6)Embedded Image−0.530.34
    BlackEmbedded Image0.30*0.14
    HispanicEmbedded Image0.030.12
    CollegeEmbedded Image0.27*0.07
    MarriedEmbedded Image0.090.09
    SD childcare qualityσc0.93*0.13
Hedonic equation
    Intercept (type 1)Embedded Image10.60*1.12
    Intercept (type 2)Embedded Image3.85*0.68
    Intercept (type 3)Embedded Image1.60*0.49
    Intercept (type 4)Embedded Image1.35*0.3
    Intercept (type 5)Embedded Image3.60*0.73
    Intercept (type 6)Embedded Image4.35*0.53
    BlackEmbedded Image−0.87*0.32
    HispanicEmbedded Image0.390.33
    CollegeEmbedded Image0.92*0.23
    MarriedEmbedded Image1.10*0.3
    Hedonic qualityEmbedded Image0.29*0.12
    SD price shockσp1.72*0.26
Head Start
    Head Start quality meanμhs0.63*0.06
    Head Start quality SDσhs0.41*0.04
    Offer probability index interceptEmbedded Image−1.04*0.36
    Offer probability index above cutoffEmbedded Image−1.88*0.56
Subsidy
    Offer probability index interceptEmbedded Image−0.860.8
Home quality
    Intercept (type 1)Embedded Image−0.40.36
    Intercept (type 2)Embedded Image1.70*0.38
    Intercept (type 3)Embedded Image−0.00410.14
    Intercept (type 4)Embedded Image−0.150.15
    Intercept (type 5)Embedded Image0.520.72
    Intercept (type 6)Embedded Image0.120.33
    BlackEmbedded Image−0.38*0.11
    HispanicEmbedded Image−0.49*0.07
    CollegeEmbedded Image0.38*0.06
    MarriedEmbedded Image0.26*0.07
    Younger kidsEmbedded Image−0.030.02
    Older kidsEmbedded Image0.008640.04
    Maternal ageEmbedded Image−0.00796*0.00336
    SD home quality shockσh0.56*0.04
Wage offer equation
    Intercept (type 1)Embedded Image0.80*0.12
    Intercept (type 2)Embedded Image0.85*0.13
    Intercept (type 3)Embedded Image−0.30.15
    Intercept (type 4)Embedded Image0.50*0.06
    Intercept (type 5)Embedded Image0.80*0.12
    Intercept (type 6)Embedded Image0.20*0.05
    BlackEmbedded Image−0.10*0.04
    HispanicEmbedded Image−0.10*0.05
    EducationEmbedded Image0.13*0.00415
    ExperienceEmbedded Image0.08*0.00442
    Experience squaredEmbedded Image−0.00207*0.00025
    SD wage shockσw0.18*0.03
Income equation
    Intercept (type 1)Embedded Image8.57*0.29
    Intercept (type 2)Embedded Image8.12*0.46
    Intercept (type 3)Embedded Image8.72*0.31
    Intercept (type 4)Embedded Image7.83*0.17
    Intercept (type 5)Embedded Image8.12*0.63
    Intercept (type 6)Embedded Image7.83*0.2
    BlackEmbedded Image−0.20*0.1
    HispanicEmbedded Image−0.23*0.08
    EducationEmbedded Image0.09*0.00497
    ExperienceEmbedded Image0.07*0.00538
    Experience squaredEmbedded Image−0.00184*0.00017
    SD income shockσy0.000012.34
Divorce logit
    InterceptEmbedded Image−5.344.41
    BlackEmbedded Image−0.1
    HispanicEmbedded Image−3.339.21
    Education motherEmbedded Image−0.62*0.12
    KidsEmbedded Image1.11*0.36
    Older kidsEmbedded Image2.85*0.47
Fertility logit
    InterceptEmbedded Image−3.92*0.08
    BlackEmbedded Image0.01
    HispanicEmbedded Image−0.08
    Education motherEmbedded Image0.03*0.0066
    MarriedEmbedded Image0.81*0.06
    Younger kidsEmbedded Image0.17*0.05
    Older kidsEmbedded Image−0.17*0.04
Type probability
    Probability type 1: InterceptEmbedded Image0.20*0.08
    Probability type 1: Age first birthEmbedded Image0.000.02
    Probability type 1: Married initialEmbedded Image0.30*0.06
    Probability type 2: InterceptEmbedded Image0.40*0.13
    Probability type 2: Age first birthEmbedded Image0.05*0.02
    Probability type 2: Married initialEmbedded Image0.30.31
    Probability type 3: InterceptEmbedded Image0.050.27
    Probability type 3: Age first birthEmbedded Image0.010.01
    Probability type 3: Married initialEmbedded Image0.55*0.2
    Probability type 4: InterceptEmbedded Image0.000.19
    Probability type 4: Age first birthEmbedded Image0.000.02
    Probability type 4: Married initialEmbedded Image0.000.22
    Probability type 5: InterceptEmbedded Image1.00*0.35
    Probability type 5: Age first birthEmbedded Image0.000.06
    Probability type 5: Married initialEmbedded Image1.00*0.38
Measurement and classification error
    SD measurement error pricesσpm0.860.5
    SD measurement error wagesσwm0.17*0.04
    SD measurement error incomeσym0.33*0.05
    SD measurement error cognitive skillsσθm0.51*0.16
    SD measurement error childcare qualityσccm0.260.55
    SD measurement error home qualityσhm0.011.33
    Classification error rate hours careEc0.88*0.03
    Classification error rate hours workEw0.99*0.03
  • a* indicates statistically significant difference from zero at the 5% level.

  • b “–” in place of a standard error indicates that the inversion algorithm could not numerically compute the standard error at that particular point estimate.

  • c The utility parameters over cognitive skills and transition costs should be scaled up by 1,000, and parameters for consumption interactions should be scaled down by 10,000.