Table 5

Short-Term Effect of Terror Fatalities on Matriculation Scores by Distance

(1)(2)(3)(4)
# Fatalities in own area–0.0050***–0.0049***–0.0047***–0.0047***
(0.0015)(0.0015)(0.0015)(0.0015)
# Fatalities in rest of subdistrict0.00020.00020.00030.0003
(0.0018)(0.0018)(0.0018)(0.0018)
# Fatalities in rest of district0.01030.01100.0110
(0.0066)(0.0067)(0.0067)
# Fatalities in rest of country0.0012
(0.0008)
# Fatalities in rest of country (including West Bank and Gaza Strip)0.0010
(0.0008)
p-value for difference between the above coefficients0.0030.0030.0020.003
Fixed effects
 Student by exam periodxxxx
 Subjectxxxx
Schools420420420420
Students248,033248,033248,033248,033
N (Exams)1,950,6181,950,6181,950,6181,950,618
  • Notes: Standard errors reported in parentheses are clustered at the area and date level. Each column in the table represents a separate regression. The dependent variable is the standardized matriculation exam score. The independent variable is the number of Israeli fatalities from a terror attack within the four-day window preceding the exam at increasing distance from the student: (i) in the student’s own area (natural region), (ii) in the student’s subdistrict but outside the student’s area, (iii) in the student’s district but outside the student’s subdistrict, and (iv) in Israel but outside the student’s district (with the West Bank and Gaza Strip excluded in the fourth row and included in the fifth row). All regressions include fixed effects for proficiency level (for both the subject and the exam) and an indicator for a retake exam. Regressions without student-by-exam-period or student fixed effects include student controls (a gender dummy, both parents’ years of schooling, number of siblings, a born-in-Israel indicator, and an ethnic-origin indicator). The sample comprises all 12th-grade students in the regular Jewish state system who took matriculation exams during the years 2001–2005. *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01.