Labor Market Concentration and Probability of Being Hired on a Permanent Contract as a Function of Collective Bargaining Coverage—IV Estimates
| Dep. Var. Permanent Contract | (1) | (2) |
|---|---|---|
| Panel A: Germany | ||
| Log HHI | −0.0680*** | −0.0663*** |
| (0.0123) | (0.0123) | |
| Log HHI*Coverage share, Sector CBA | 0.0074 | |
| (0.0057) | ||
| Log HHI*High coverage dummy, Sector CBA | −0.0017 | |
| (0.0018) | ||
| KP F-test | 85.1 | 85.1 |
| Observations | 4,167,918 | 4,167,918 |
| Panel B: Portugal | ||
| Log HHI | −0.0514* | −0.0523* |
| (0.0303) | (0.0309) | |
| Log HHI*Coverage share, Sector CBA | 0.0014 | |
| (0.0061) | ||
| Log HHI*High coverage dummy, Sector CBA | 0.0030 | |
| (0.0023) | ||
| KP F-test | 6.7 | 6.8 |
| Observations | 1,039,792 | 1,039,792 |
Notes: 2SLS estimates. The dependent variable is a dummy variable equal to one if the individual is hired on a permanent contract and zero if hired on a temporary contract. Local labor markets are defined based on four-digit occupations and functional areas (FAs). “Coverage share, Sector CBA” is the proportion of employees covered by a sector-level collective agreement in the industry where the individual is employed. “High coverage dummy, Sector CBA” is a dummy variable equal to one if the individual is employed in an industry with a proportion of employees covered by a sector-level collective agreement above the median, and zero otherwise. Control variables include gender, education (four categories), yearly dummies for workers’ age, whether the individual was employed the year before, whether they work full-time or not, as well as firm-by-municipality-by-year fixed effects, sector and establishment fixed effects (where not collinear with firm-by-municipality fixed effects), and local labor market fixed effects. In Germany, control variables also include the share of employees covered by a works council in the industry interacted with log(HHI). Log(HHI) is instrumented by the average of the log inverse number of firms with positive hiring in other FAs for the same occupation. Log(HHI) interacted with a collective bargaining indicator (respectively the works council variable) is instrumented by the average of the log inverse number of firms with positive hiring in other FAs for the same occupation interacted with the collective bargaining indicator (respectively the works council variable). Standard errors are clustered at the labor-market-by-year level. KP F-test: Kleibergen–Paap Wald F-test. *p < 0.1, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01. Observations include singletons.