Minimum Wage Effects on Employment by Voting Eligibility: CPS Data
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A: Teenagers 15–19, CPS November Supplement | ||||
| Ln(MW) coeff. | −0.084*** (0.028) | −0.084** (0.039) | −0.015 (0.036) | 0.012 (0.045) |
| Elasticity | −0.229 | −0.230 | −0.040 | 0.032 |
| Observations | 101,105 | 101,105 | 101,105 | 101,105 |
| Panel B: Ineligible to Vote | ||||
| Ln(MW) coeff. | 0.191+ (0.125) | 0.154 (0.162) | 0.184 (0.143) | 0.158 (0.184) |
| Elasticity | 0.363 | 0.292 | 0.350 | 0.301 |
| Observations | 5,934 | 5,934 | 5,934 | 5,934 |
| Panel C: Not Ineligible to Vote | ||||
| Ln(MW) coeff. | −0.008 (0.011) | 0.003 (0.013) | −0.013 (0.009) | −0.003 (0.014) |
| Elasticity | −0.016 | 0.006 | −0.024 | −0.005 |
| Observations | 644,516 | 644,516 | 644,516 | 644,516 |
| Div. × Year FE | N | Y | N | Y |
| Linear trends | N | N | Y | Y |
Notes: Data from the November Current Population Survey (1990–2016; voting eligibility only available from in even years [federal election years] for 2004–2016). Dependent variable is employed (not including self-employment). Each cell is a different regression. Regressions in Panel A are meant to mimic Allegretto et al. 2011, including the sample restriction to teenagers (15–19 years old). In Panel B, we focus on citizens of voting age who say they are ineligible to vote; this is our proxy for having a criminal record. In Panel C, we run the same regression on citizens of voting age who do not say they are ineligible vote. Controls included but not shown are: gender, race, age, education, marital status, state unemployment rate, state fixed effects, year fixed effects, and time trends or division x year effects as indicated. Standard errors clustered on state in parentheses.
↵+ p < 0.15,
* p < 0.10,
↵** p < 0.05,
↵*** p < 0.01.