Regression (OLS) Estimates of Fertility Outcomes (LHS) on Fertility Fines (RHS) Following Daughters: China 1964–2000
| Did you have another child? (1 = yes) | Among those with another child, was the next birth male? (1 = yes) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Those with one daughter | Those with two daughters | Those with one daughter | Those with two daughters | |
| Log of Fertility Fine | −0.102*** (0.024) | −0.102*** (0.034) | 0.008* (0.004) | 0.023** (0.009) |
| Mother’s Education | −0.014*** (0.002) | −0.004** (0.002) | 0.001 (0.001) | 0.002 (0.002) |
| Farmer | 0.288*** (0.019) | 0.185*** (0.021) | 0.000 (0.006) | −0.009 (0.013) |
| Sample Average | 0.788 | 0.647 | 0.540 | 0.601 |
| Observations | 234,570 | 85,074 | 184,955 | 55,045 |
↵* significant at 10%
↵** significant at 5%.
↵*** significant at 1%.
Source: Matched sample of mothers and children from census taken in 1982, 1990 and 2000 pooled and weighted by probability of being sampled. Sample restricted to mothers ages 3540 and their matched children ages 0–18.
Notes: The fine is measured in years of household income, taken from Scharping (2003). Education is measured in years. The first two regressions examine the partial correlation between the fine for a 2nd/3rd birth and the chance parents have a 2nd/3rd child. The second two regressions are restricted to those who have a 2nd/3rd birth and examine the partial correlation between the fine paid for the 2nd/3rd birth and the chance the birth is male. All specifications include province fixed effects, a fixed-effect for the year of the previous birth, and control variables for the age and years of education of both parents. Robust standard errors clustered at the province level.