Table 8

Reduced-Form Estimates by Year of Exposure, 1900–36 Cohorts

Independent VariableDependent Variable
Years of Schooling12+ Years of Schooling (× 100)Log (Income)Poverty Status < 150 percent (× 100)
TEMP2228 · HIGH (t)−1.066
(0.377)***
− 14.599
(5.667)**
− 1.209
(0.462)**
12.167
(4.472)***
TEMP2228 · HIGH (t+1)−0.291
(1.350)
−13.093
(19.343)
3.262
(1.756)*
3.263
(14.390)
TEMP2228 · HIGH (t+2)0.603
(1.384)
16.737
(20.639)
−4.199
(1.875)**
2.907
(14.637)
TEMP2228 (t)0.156
(0.304)
3.918
(4.713)
0.617
(0.413)
− 3.948
(4.617)
TEMP2228 (t+1)0.324
(1.010)
4.982
(17.689)
−1.511
(1.492)
− 1.426
(11.779)
TEMP2228 (t+2)−0.840
(1.081)
− 12.297
(18.763)
2.164
(1.595)
− 3.734
(11.376)
PRCP, PRCPSQDNoNoNoNo
Year fixed effectsYesYesYesYes
State fixed effectsYesYesYesYes
State-specific linear trendsYesYesYesYes
Observations1,8131,8131,8131,813
  • Notes: * significant at 10 percent; ** significant at 5 percent; *** significant at 1 percent. Standard errors (in parenthesis) are clustered on state of birth. All regressions are weighted by the number of underlying individuals in the state-year cohort. “t”, “t+1”, and “t + 2” refer to the year of birth, year after the year of birth, and second year after the year of birth, respectively.