Table 2

Determinants of Changes in Upper Grade Continuation Rates, 1960–65 to 1970–75

Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12HS Graduation
Black share of enrollment, 19600.045
(0.066)
−0.004
(0.098)
0.136
(0.078)a
0.152
(0.119)
0.185
(0.075)b
0.189
(0.097)a
0.182
(0.076)b
0.188
(0.114)
Low-grade continuation rate−0.416
(0.280)
0.015
(0.250)
0.259
(0.218)
0.100
(0.227)
Percent black VAP registered to vote, 1960−0.031
(0.065)
−0.030
(0.071)
−0.010
(0.068)
−0.005
(0.065)
Nonwhite median income, 19600.002
(0.008)
−0.001
(0.010)
−0.003
(0.009)
0.000
(0.009)
Nonwhite median years of education, 1960−0.019
(0.013)
−0.017
(0.016)
−0.012
(0.015)
−0.002
(0.014)
Percent of households with complete plumbing−0.152
(0.158)
−0.115
(0.157)
−0.002
(0.145)
−0.062
(0.154)
Percent of population in urban areas0.108
(0.064)a
0.156
(0.078)a
0.083
(0.070)
0.087
(0.074)
Change in per-pupil instructional spending for blacks, 1955–590.081
(0.114)
0.137
(0.129)
0.197
(0.126)
0.223
(0.119)a
Change in percent of VAP blacks registered to vote, 1964—680.024
(0.110)
−0.034
(0.131)
0.035
(0.119)
0.018
(0.124)
Ln change in employment−0.032
(0.078)
−0.073
(0.071)
−0.025
(0.069)
0.008
(0.067)
Constant0.037
(0.029)
0.146
(0.116)
−0.013
(0.034)
0.056
(0.132)
−0.026
(0.033)
−0.044
(0.125)
−0.016
(0.033)
−0.083
(0.123)
N6363636363636363
R-squared0.010.110.050.170.090.240.100.20
  • Notes: Huber-White heteroskedasticity-adjusted robust standard errors in parentheses.

  • a Significant at the 10 percent level.

  • b Significant at the 5 percent level.

  • c Significant at the 1 percent level.