Table 3

Change in Annual Internal-Cause Mortality Rate for Children Born After September 30, 1983, by Race and Age Group

Black ChildrenWhite Children
Four-Year WindowThree-Year WindowTwo-Year WindowFour-Year WindowThree-Year WindowTwo-Year Window
Ages 4–7
    Linear0.024
(0.089)		0.042
(0.104)		−0.009
(0.132)		0.036
(0.041)		−0.013
(0.049)		−0.031
(0.056)
    Linear spline0.023
(0.090)		0.043
(0.103)		−0.006
(0.129)		0.036
(0.041)		−0.014
(0.049)		−0.030
(0.056)
    Quadratic0.024
(0.089)		0.042
(0.104)		−0.009
(0.134)		0.036
(0.041)		−0.013
(0.048)		−0.031
(0.056)
    Quadratic spline0.095
(0.114)		0.007
(0.129)		0.060
(0.155)		−0.005
(0.061)		−0.022
(0.070)		−0.037
(0.074)
    Baseline mean1.5251.5621.5601.2051.1861.192
    N  192  144    96  192  144    96
Ages 8–14
    Linear−0.098
(0.090)		−0.081
(0.099)		−0.144
(0.125)		0.014
(0.029)		0.018
(0.033)		0.029
(0.042)
    Linear spline−0.099
(0.086)		−0.083
(0.096)		−0.146
(0.122)		0.013
(0.028)		0.017
(0.032)		0.028
(0.041)
    Quadratic−0.094
(0.087)		−0.079
(0.097)		−0.142
(0.123)		0.014
(0.028)		0.018
(0.032)		0.029
(0.041)
    Quadratic spline−0.206*
(0.109)		−0.268**
(0.117)		−0.321**
(0.153)		0.012
(0.038)		−0.001
(0.041)		−0.045
(0.050)
    Baseline mean1.4621.4891.4840.9880.9800.971
    N  288  216  144  288  216  144
Ages 15–18
    Linear−0.443***
(0.126)		−0.465***
(0.151)		−0.460**
(0.195)		0.028
(0.048)		−0.000
(0.052)		−0.009
(0.068)
    Linear spline−0.447***

(0.124)		−0.465***
(0.148)		−0.453**
(0.195)		0.025
(0.045)		−0.000
(0.050)		−0.006
(0.065)
    Quadratic−0.448***
(0.125)		−0.471***

(0.148)		−0.467**
(0.194)		0.022
(0.046)		−0.001
(0.051)		−0.010
(0.066)
    Quadratic spline−0.456**
(0.197)		−0.349
(0.258)		0.053
(0.320)		0.008
(0.071)		0.011
(0.072)		0.077
(0.085)
    Baseline mean2.3222.3872.4401.3931.3781.384
    N  192  144    96  192  144    96
Ages 19–23
    Linear0.052
(0.127)		0.098
(0.143)		0.067
(0.162)		−0.007
(0.054)		−0.024
(0.065)		−0.071
(0.084)
    Linear spline0.049
(0.126)		0.096
(0.143)		0.070
(0.164)		−0.009
(0.054)		−0.024
(0.065)		−0.070
(0.085)
    Quadratic0.052
(0.125)		0.098
(0.143)		0.067
(0.163)		−0.007
(0.054)		−0.024
(0.065)		−0.071
(0.085)
    Quadratic spline0.120
(0.174)		0.091
(0.189)		0.175
(0.234)		0.005
(0.070)		−0.041
(0.086)		−0.045
(0.097)
    Baseline mean3.7123.6943.6802.0192.0182.011
    N  192  14496  192  14496

  • Notes: Coefficients from OLS regressions with the specified function in birth cohort, a dummy for deaths classified under ICD-10 and calendar month dummies. Standard errors reported in parentheses are robust and clustered by birth month cohort,

  • ↵*** p < 0.01,

  • ↵** p < 0.05,

  • ↵* p < 0.1.