Gender-Specific Predicted Employment Growth and Fertility, by Education and Race
| Less Than High School | High School Graduate | Any College | |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. White | |||
| Male index, white less than high school | 0.015** (0.006) | ||
| Female index, white less than high school | −0.009 (0.007) | ||
| Male index, white high school graduate | 0.023*** (0.007) | ||
| Female index, white high school graduate | −0.006 (0.010) | ||
| Male index, white any college | 0.017** (0.006) | ||
| Female index, white any college | 0.001 (0.012) | ||
| B. Black | |||
| Male index, black less than high school | 0.021*** (0.007) | ||
| Female index, black less than high school | −0.036** (0.015) | ||
| Male index, black high school graduate | 0.027*** (0.008) | ||
| Female index, black high school graduate | −0.024** (0.010) | ||
| Male index, black any college | 0.015 (0.018) | ||
| Female index, black any college | −0.025 (0.023) | ||
Source: Population estimates by race and education are annual averages from the Basic Monthly Current Population Survey.
Notes: N = 1,475. Dependent variable is the log of births per 1,000 women aged 16–45 in the relevant education group. Standard errors are Huber-White robust and clustered at the state level.
* p < 0.1,
↵** p < 0.05,
↵*** p < 0.01. Construction of labor demand indices is described in Section V of the text. All regressions include state and year fixed effects, state time trends, and state-year level demographic controls.