Table 5

Placebo Regression Results for Probability of Marrying

2008–2010 Period with Placebo Provision Enactment in 2009 and Implementation in 2010Ages 28–30 and 33–35 with Placebo Provision for Ages 28–30
Treatment*enactment0.0041
(0.0026)
0.0003
(0.0029)
Treatment*implementation−0.0021
(0.0041)
0.0014
(0.0021)
Observations612,841955,341
Dependent variable means
    Treatment, pre-enactment0.0640.081
    Control, pre-enactment0.0860.069
    Treatment, implementation0.0560.078
    Control, implementation0.0780.065
  • Source: 2008 through 2013 1-year ACS data, except as noted. Notes: Shown are coefficients estimated from the specification of the determinants of the probability of marrying. Each column presents results from a single regression. Regressions are estimated using population weights. Specifications include state, year, and age fixed effects, national and state-year trends, as well as individual demographic controls, and the age-specific state-year sex ratio and unemployment rate. The sample includes all individuals who were unmarried in the calendar year prior to the survey year and those who married in the calendar year prior to the survey year ages 23–25 and 28–30 except as noted. Robust standard errors clustered at the state level in parentheses,

  • *** p < 0.01,

  • ** p < 0.05,

  • * p < 0.1.